Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 31, 2014, 10:26:42 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  2012 Elections
| | |-+  2012 House Election Polls (Moderator: Tender Branson)
| | | |-+  WI-08: Normington Petts (D): Ribble favored by 6
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: WI-08: Normington Petts (D): Ribble favored by 6  (Read 457 times)
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15790
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 4.52

View Profile
« on: October 02, 2012, 04:28:27 pm »
Ignore

Report.

Reid Ribble (R)- 47% (48)
Jamie Wall (D)- 41% (33)
Not sure- 12%

The trendline favors Wall, but Ribble most likely wins. 'Some interesting numbers upballot as well:

Romney- 47% (49)
Obama- 46% (44)

Baldwin- 50% (36)
Thompson- 42% (52)
Logged


Nhoj
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6012
United States


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2012, 04:55:57 pm »
Ignore

The Baldwin vs Thompson numbers are hilarious.
Logged

آزادی برای ایران


Linus Van Pelt
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1861


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2012, 09:01:47 pm »
Ignore

Romney- 47% (49)
Obama- 46% (44)

Baldwin- 50% (36)
Thompson- 42% (52)


hahaha
Logged

Quote
Resident Al Salsano griped that the wine bar has a limited food menu and attracts people who use it as a place for dates after meeting online.

"I have seen people say, ‘I met you on the Internet,’ and you’re putting that on the sidewalk?" he said incredulously. "I don’t want children walking near 'Internet people' meeting."
Gravis Marketing
brittain33
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12966


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2012, 07:45:09 am »
Ignore

Baldwin- 50% (36)
Thompson- 42% (52)

Jee-zus. That has to be a transposition error, right?
Logged
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27430
United States


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2012, 09:38:26 am »
Ignore

This CD has a Dem PVI of 1%, so if the poll is true, this is like viagra to the Pubs, and to Mittens in particular. However, the CD is volatile, and trended very heavily Dem in 2008 before bouncing back big in 2010.
Logged

Gass3268
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4452
United States


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2012, 10:10:29 am »
Ignore

This CD has a Dem PVI of 1%, so if the poll is true, this is like viagra to the Pubs, and to Mittens in particular. However, the CD is volatile, and trended very heavily Dem in 2008 before bouncing back big in 2010.

A tie in this region of the state does not help Romney. Based on the polling, Obama is locked to win the 2nd, 3rd and 4th whild Romney is locked to win the 5th and 6th. A recent poll showed that Obama is up 11 points in the 7th. I have no idea what's going on in the 1st, I'd guess Romney is winning due to help from Ryan, but nothing too extreme as there are some very Democtract areas (Kenosha, Janesville and Raciene) in that district that will always keep it close on the presidential level. Romeny needs to do better in the 7th and 8th if he wants to win the the state.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27430
United States


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2012, 10:22:58 am »
Ignore

This CD has a Dem PVI of 1%, so if the poll is true, this is like viagra to the Pubs, and to Mittens in particular. However, the CD is volatile, and trended very heavily Dem in 2008 before bouncing back big in 2010.

A tie in this region of the state does not help Romney. Based on the polling, Obama is locked to win the 2nd, 3rd and 4th whild Romney is locked to win the 5th and 6th. A recent poll showed that Obama is up 11 points in the 7th. I have no idea what's going on in the 1st, I'd guess Romney is winning due to help from Ryan, but nothing too extreme as there are some very Democtract areas (Kenosha, Janesville and Raciene) in that district that will always keep it close on the presidential level. Romeny needs to do better in the 7th and 8th if he wants to win the the state.

Actually, the PVI is Dem +2% rather than 1%, so if Mittens is ahead by 1% in WI-08, that is a 2.5% swing from baseline, only about a point short of what is needed to carry  a state that has a 3.4% Dem PVI, if the swing in WI-08 replicates the state as a whole.
« Last Edit: October 03, 2012, 12:35:10 pm by Torie »Logged

krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5932


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2012, 10:37:11 am »
Ignore

http://elections.wispolitics.com/2012/10/dccc-pulling-out-of-8th-cd.html?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed


The DCCC is pulling out of the 8th CD race between freshman GOP Rep. Reid Ribble and Dem challenger Jamie Wall, according to a TV source.
Logged
CountryRoads
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 702
United States


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2012, 02:29:55 pm »
Ignore

Good news here Smiley I hope Ribble wins.
Logged

Economic score: +9.48
Social score: +6.00

Moore Capito for U.S. Senate!
Holmes
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6953
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2012, 05:17:22 pm »
Ignore

Glorious news!
Logged

Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines