WI-08: Normington Petts (D): Ribble favored by 6
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 18, 2024, 09:41:56 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 House Election Polls
  WI-08: Normington Petts (D): Ribble favored by 6
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: WI-08: Normington Petts (D): Ribble favored by 6  (Read 989 times)
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 02, 2012, 04:28:27 PM »

Report.

Reid Ribble (R)- 47% (48)
Jamie Wall (D)- 41% (33)
Not sure- 12%

The trendline favors Wall, but Ribble most likely wins. 'Some interesting numbers upballot as well:

Romney- 47% (49)
Obama- 46% (44)

Baldwin- 50% (36)
Thompson- 42% (52)
Logged
Nhoj
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,224
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.52, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2012, 04:55:57 PM »

The Baldwin vs Thompson numbers are hilarious.
Logged
Linus Van Pelt
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,144


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2012, 09:01:47 PM »

Romney- 47% (49)
Obama- 46% (44)

Baldwin- 50% (36)
Thompson- 42% (52)


hahaha
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,932


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2012, 07:45:09 AM »


Jee-zus. That has to be a transposition error, right?
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,047
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2012, 09:38:26 AM »

This CD has a Dem PVI of 1%, so if the poll is true, this is like viagra to the Pubs, and to Mittens in particular. However, the CD is volatile, and trended very heavily Dem in 2008 before bouncing back big in 2010.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,459
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2012, 10:10:29 AM »

This CD has a Dem PVI of 1%, so if the poll is true, this is like viagra to the Pubs, and to Mittens in particular. However, the CD is volatile, and trended very heavily Dem in 2008 before bouncing back big in 2010.

A tie in this region of the state does not help Romney. Based on the polling, Obama is locked to win the 2nd, 3rd and 4th whild Romney is locked to win the 5th and 6th. A recent poll showed that Obama is up 11 points in the 7th. I have no idea what's going on in the 1st, I'd guess Romney is winning due to help from Ryan, but nothing too extreme as there are some very Democtract areas (Kenosha, Janesville and Raciene) in that district that will always keep it close on the presidential level. Romeny needs to do better in the 7th and 8th if he wants to win the the state.
Logged
Torie
Moderators
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 46,047
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2012, 10:22:58 AM »
« Edited: October 03, 2012, 12:35:10 PM by Torie »

This CD has a Dem PVI of 1%, so if the poll is true, this is like viagra to the Pubs, and to Mittens in particular. However, the CD is volatile, and trended very heavily Dem in 2008 before bouncing back big in 2010.

A tie in this region of the state does not help Romney. Based on the polling, Obama is locked to win the 2nd, 3rd and 4th whild Romney is locked to win the 5th and 6th. A recent poll showed that Obama is up 11 points in the 7th. I have no idea what's going on in the 1st, I'd guess Romney is winning due to help from Ryan, but nothing too extreme as there are some very Democtract areas (Kenosha, Janesville and Raciene) in that district that will always keep it close on the presidential level. Romeny needs to do better in the 7th and 8th if he wants to win the the state.

Actually, the PVI is Dem +2% rather than 1%, so if Mittens is ahead by 1% in WI-08, that is a 2.5% swing from baseline, only about a point short of what is needed to carry  a state that has a 3.4% Dem PVI, if the swing in WI-08 replicates the state as a whole.
Logged
krazen1211
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,372


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2012, 10:37:11 AM »

http://elections.wispolitics.com/2012/10/dccc-pulling-out-of-8th-cd.html?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed


The DCCC is pulling out of the 8th CD race between freshman GOP Rep. Reid Ribble and Dem challenger Jamie Wall, according to a TV source.
Logged
CountryRoads
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 693
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2012, 02:29:55 PM »

Good news here Smiley I hope Ribble wins.
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,707
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2012, 05:17:22 PM »

Glorious news!
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.038 seconds with 13 queries.