Several projected 2012 election

[heatmaster]

There has been much in the way of projections for the election result on 2016, and based on the margin of error in several opinion polls, such as RCP, Rassmussen to name but a few, here is what I see happening on November 6, Obama wins but only narrowly, something similar to George W. Bush in 2004. Here is one of the maps:

Obama-Biden 292
Romney-Ryan 246
In this map the President does slightly better,

Obama-Biden 329
Romney-Ryan 209

In this map, you see that Romney's decision to select Ryan yields some marginal dividends in helping to secure Wisconsin's 10 electoral votes and the polls in Ohio, showing Obama holding to anything from an 8 pt. lead to a narrow margin of victory, gives Ohio, along with Indiana and North Carolina to Romney, but there is a surprise for Obama, he loses Colorado and Nevada, but picks up Arizona: Romney is disappointed to lose New Hampshire.

Obama-Biden 272
Romney-Ryan 266

In this map, Obama loses!
This is the Electoral score.
Obama-Biden 262
Romney-Ryan 276

[5280]

Interesting, but Obama is not taking AZ unless its a landslide.

[GLPman]

Obama isn't going to win Arizona.

[Donerail]

Obama isn't going to win Arizona.

And Romney isn't going to win Wisconsin, Ohio, or Nevada. Not happening.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

...

[JFK-Democrat]

Nevada is a lock for Obama, the ground game is going to obliterate Romney in this state

[heatmaster]

How many of you are drinking to much of the kool-aid, and are lock solid Obamaites? I suspect to many: many of you are in this bubble and are inclined to dismiss all reality: have you looked at the polls both by Franhk Luntz or Karl Rove: let's take Ohio? in 2008 Obama took the state by 5% and now he's the incumbent, no one can expect me to accept the idea that Ohio is a slam dunk, you forget Romney and his people will start to carpet bomb the state to counter Obama's ads after the debate's: the so-called "October Surprise" you Dems just love: the race in Ohio is within the margin of error: let's not forget the upcoming election is gonna be a squeaker and everything is to play for: it's time to leave "lefty-land" and smell the  coffee: Nevada is gonna  be a toughie, an awful lot of disgruntled voter's who are plenty pissed off with Barack and "His" stewardship of the economy: remember four years ago? Dear old Barack played the blame game and it worked, but now the shoe is on the other foot, what's the old saying, you live by the sword, you die the by the sword: but that's the problem with Dems, no accountability when it suits you and unless you can "persuade" an awful lot of pissed off voter's who don't buy into the spurious crap being put out by the pro-Obama crowd, then you are in deep doo-doo and by the way, Wisconsin is in play, because of Ryan's presence on the ticket and he could very well make mince meat of Joe "The Waffler" Biden in the that debate coming up in Danville: even if Ryan wipe's the floor with Biden, all you Obama people will convince everybody that poor Joe got hijacked so Ryan's victory doesn't count, hence Joe wins! Well on November 6 the truth will be told and you Obama folks can go back to your sand-boxes and dream of what might have been.

[Donerail]

How many of you are drinking to much of the kool-aid, and are lock solid Romneyites? I suspect to many: many of you are in this bubble and are inclined to dismiss all reality: have you looked at the polls by PPP or our indigenous talent Mondale84: let's take Georgia? in 2008 McCain took the state by 5% and now he's the challenger, no one can expect me to accept the idea that Georgia is a slam dunk, you forget Obamaand his people will start to carpet bomb the state to counter Romney's ads after the debate's: the so-called "October Surprise" you Repubs just love: the race in Georgia is within the margin of error: let's not forget the upcoming election is gonna be a squeaker and everything is to play for: it's time to leave "crazy-land" and smell the coffee: Arizona is gonna  be a toughie, an awful lot of disgruntled voter's who are plenty pissed off with Romney and "His" plans for the economy. Dear old Mitt played the blame game and it worked, but now the shoe is on the other foot, what's the old saying, you live by the sword, you die the by the sword: but that's the problem with Repubs, no accountability when it suits you and unless you can "persuade" an awful lot of pissed off voter's who don't buy into the spurious crap being put out by the pro-Romney crowd, then you are in deep doo-doo and by the way, Montana is in play, because of Tester's presence on the ticket and he could very well make mince meat of Paul "Medicare-killer" Ryan in the that debate coming up in Danville: even if Biden wipe's the floor with Ryan, all you Romney people will convince everybody that poor Paul got hijacked so Biden's victory doesn't count, hence Paul wins! Well on November 6 the truth will be told and you Romney folks can go back to your sand-boxes and dream of what might have been.

[heatmaster]

Well in response to that latest pro-Obama tirade, and to quote Ronald Reagan and more recently Bubba, "There you go again" I actually believe you people are scared that your marbles are gonna get taken away, you are in that cocoon where you have overdosed on the kool-aid  and start having withdrawal symptoms like a junkie who has crashed with no where to go but the abyss and that's what you are looking at as the Mittster breathes down your neck, it's scary and please next time come up with an original thought when responding and give up parrotting me, it's flattering, but it illustrates another fact, you Dems are unable to actually come up with an original idea these days, you are simply bereft of ideas, it's a symptom dating back to the 1980s until Bubba decided to imitate the Gipper and actually won two elections, but he had to poach Republican ideas to succeed, you see the Republican way works, and logic trumps pie in the sky liberal democratic orthodoxy any day of the week. Hope you like them apples!

[Donerail]

Well in response to that latest pro-Obama tirade, and to quote Ronald Reagan and more recently Bubba, "There you go again" I actually believe you people are scared that your marbles are gonna get taken away, you are in that cocoon where you have overdosed on the kool-aid  and start having withdrawal symptoms like a junkie who has crashed with no where to go but the abyss and that's what you are looking at as the Mittster breathes down your neck, it's scary and please next time come up with an original thought when responding and give up parrotting me, it's flattering, but it illustrates another fact, you Dems are unable to actually come up with an original idea these days, you are simply bereft of ideas, it's a symptom dating back to the 1980s until Bubba decided to imitate the Gipper and actually won two elections, but he had to poach Republican ideas to succeed, you see the Republican way works, and logic trumps pie in the sky liberal democratic orthodoxy any day of the week. Hope you like them apples!

Uh, not a Dem, not an Obama voter, and if I had to choose between the two I'd vote for Romney; I merely have recognized the reality, which is that Obama is more than likely to win this election by a rather large margin. Sad but true.

[heatmaster]

Romney's debate performance, has probably helped change the dynamics of the 2012 election; Obama's negative ads won't do the job, but the jobs report on October 5 will certainly do a job on the poll numbers and all the excuses in the world ain't gonna do the job, neither will the left-wing intellegentsia, the sad truth as far as Obama goes he can't run away from his pathetic record and the bill is due!