Romney still can't win the electoral college

[Ty440]

I agree with the OP.  Romney may actually make this a close election after all, but he won't win simply because he doesn't have the EV's lined up in his direction.  He won't win OH and his chances in FL have been minimal since he announced Ryan as his VP.

Also, I think it's interesting that it's as close as the polls suggest in places like IA, NH, WI and CO.  That'd make one think things were turning Romney's way, but the lack of OH *and* FL will cause Romney to lose.

Most polls suggest he's already flipped Florida, and Ohio is not far off.  Chances are that white working class voters were flirting with voting Obama solely because Romney is so clearly (blatantly even) the epitome of the class which is destroying them, but now that they saw Obama next to him, and Romney was so white (and Obama so black by contrast), they can't help but change.  Obama should never have agreed to appear on TV.

LOL Never knew Obama was the same complexion as Wesley Snipes.

[anvi]

Romney can win the electoral college if he swings every state where he was down by 5% or less the day before the first debate.  That means he wouldn't have to win Ohio, but he would have to win Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa and Nevada.  It's possible, but the hill is still pretty steep.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

It's ironic that opebo predicts a Romney win and J.J. predicts an Obama win.  I wonder if it has anything to do with where they live. 

To the people talking about my home state: you make some very good points.  As for me, I wouldn't be at all surprised if he made a late play for my state.  Unemployment is high, there's news of surging gas prices and even a possible shortage in the next month.  This in and of itself won't necessarily flip the state, but it'll be murder for Democratic enthusiasm.  It seems far-fetched, but as others have noted, Romney is leading among Independents by a good margin, and the relative turnout among the two major parties can make him competitive.  Even if he loses the state, I wouldn't be surprised if he broke 46 or 47 percent. 

I'm sorry, are you talking about CA?

[memphis]

I agree with the OP.  Romney may actually make this a close election after all, but he won't win simply because he doesn't have the EV's lined up in his direction.  He won't win OH and his chances in FL have been minimal since he announced Ryan as his VP.

Also, I think it's interesting that it's as close as the polls suggest in places like IA, NH, WI and CO.  That'd make one think things were turning Romney's way, but the lack of OH *and* FL will cause Romney to lose.

Most polls suggest he's already flipped Florida, and Ohio is not far off.  Chances are that white working class voters were flirting with voting Obama solely because Romney is so clearly (blatantly even) the epitome of the class which is destroying them, but now that they saw Obama next to him, and Romney was so white (and Obama so black by contrast), they can't help but change.  Obama should never have agreed to appear on TV.

LOL Never knew Obama was the same complexion as Wesley Snipes.

And I'm sure it was news to the masses that Obama is so black. We live in such a colorblind society, most people had simply never noticed.

[Hoverbored123]

It's ironic that opebo predicts a Romney win and J.J. predicts an Obama win.  I wonder if it has anything to do with where they live. 

To the people talking about my home state: you make some very good points.  As for me, I wouldn't be at all surprised if he made a late play for my state.  Unemployment is high, there's news of surging gas prices and even a possible shortage in the next month.  This in and of itself won't necessarily flip the state, but it'll be murder for Democratic enthusiasm.  It seems far-fetched, but as others have noted, Romney is leading among Independents by a good margin, and the relative turnout among the two major parties can make him competitive.  Even if he loses the state, I wouldn't be surprised if he broke 46 or 47 percent. 

I'm sorry, are you talking about CA?

That's right.  Come to think of it, I never mentioned it by name in my post...

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

It's ironic that opebo predicts a Romney win and J.J. predicts an Obama win.  I wonder if it has anything to do with where they live. 

To the people talking about my home state: you make some very good points.  As for me, I wouldn't be at all surprised if he made a late play for my state.  Unemployment is high, there's news of surging gas prices and even a possible shortage in the next month.  This in and of itself won't necessarily flip the state, but it'll be murder for Democratic enthusiasm.  It seems far-fetched, but as others have noted, Romney is leading among Independents by a good margin, and the relative turnout among the two major parties can make him competitive.  Even if he loses the state, I wouldn't be surprised if he broke 46 or 47 percent. 

I'm sorry, are you talking about CA?

That's right.  Come to think of it, I never mentioned it by name in my post...

That's what I thought - the economy might not be great in CA, but Romney would be lucky to crack 41-42%