Romney still can't win the electoral college

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

If Romney pulls ahead in the PV, chances are he'll win the EC. Remember, Gore would have won FL if all of the votes were counted.

Maybe.

Certainly if all eligible voters had been allowed to vote.

On the other hand, Kerry was quite close to winning the Electoral College despite losing the PV clearly.

Yeah, Bush could have won the PV by about 2% and still have lost OH and the election...

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

It's ironic that opebo predicts a Romney win and J.J. predicts an Obama win.  I wonder if it has anything to do with where they live. 

To the people talking about my home state: you make some very good points.  As for me, I wouldn't be at all surprised if he made a late play for my state.  Unemployment is high, there's news of surging gas prices and even a possible shortage in the next month.  This in and of itself won't necessarily flip the state, but it'll be murder for Democratic enthusiasm.  It seems far-fetched, but as others have noted, Romney is leading among Independents by a good margin, and the relative turnout among the two major parties can make him competitive.  Even if he loses the state, I wouldn't be surprised if he broke 46 or 47 percent. 

I'm sorry, are you talking about CA?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

It's ironic that opebo predicts a Romney win and J.J. predicts an Obama win.  I wonder if it has anything to do with where they live. 

To the people talking about my home state: you make some very good points.  As for me, I wouldn't be at all surprised if he made a late play for my state.  Unemployment is high, there's news of surging gas prices and even a possible shortage in the next month.  This in and of itself won't necessarily flip the state, but it'll be murder for Democratic enthusiasm.  It seems far-fetched, but as others have noted, Romney is leading among Independents by a good margin, and the relative turnout among the two major parties can make him competitive.  Even if he loses the state, I wouldn't be surprised if he broke 46 or 47 percent. 

I'm sorry, are you talking about CA?

That's right.  Come to think of it, I never mentioned it by name in my post...

That's what I thought - the economy might not be great in CA, but Romney would be lucky to crack 41-42%