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Author Topic: CT-Sen, Quinnipiac: McMahon in the lead  (Read 855 times)
krazen1211
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« on: October 04, 2012, 08:35:39 am »
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http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1802

McMahon 48
Murphy 47



McMahon is allegedly putting up a large lead in Murphy's congressional district.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2012, 09:31:08 am »
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This can't be real.
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2012, 09:35:22 am »
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She was up three in the last Quinnipiac poll, so this actually shows her losing ground.
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Zioneer
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« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2012, 09:55:35 am »
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Why is Murphy doing so badly? This is Connecticut, and McMahon lost badly last time. I don't understand how Murphy's not trouncing her.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2012, 10:10:56 am »

New Poll: Connecticut Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2012-10-03

Summary: D: 47%, R: 48%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2012, 11:38:07 am »
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Why is Murphy doing so badly? This is Connecticut, and McMahon lost badly last time. I don't understand how Murphy's not trouncing her.

$$$$$$$$
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« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2012, 12:16:44 pm »
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Also, Chris Murphy isn't a great candidate.
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« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2012, 12:28:36 pm »
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Linda McMahon is carpet bombing the state. Look at Wisconsin for evidence of what happens when one candidate spends and another doesn't.
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« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2012, 01:30:08 pm »
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I think this was also somewhat a low point for Republicans across the board, as well. As Romney improves, so should she.
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« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2012, 01:46:14 pm »
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Why is Murphy doing so badly? This is Connecticut, and McMahon lost badly last time. I don't understand how Murphy's not trouncing her.

Murphy is no Blumenthal.  Blumenthal was a well-respected statewide Attorney General who had been elected numerous times.  He was always on Connecticut TV as AG and otherwise kept a high profile.  Everybody knew who he was.  Murphy is a three-term congressman who represents one-fifth of the state.  He has not kept nearly as high a profile as Blumenthal and because he was a relative unknown prior to this election, McMahon has had the opportunity to define him in a way that she never really did for Blumenthal. 
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Svensson
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« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2012, 01:49:51 pm »
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Oh, this is going to be good.
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Speaker Dereich
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« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2012, 02:22:58 pm »
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If Linda McMahon wins and candidates like Tommy Thompson, Scott Brown and Linda Lingle lose the Tea Party is going to be intolerable for the next 4 years or so.
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« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2012, 03:03:15 pm »
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Continued evidence of a bizarre Republican surge in Connecticut. This bodes well downballot in CT-05.
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« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2012, 03:19:19 pm »
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If Linda McMahon wins and candidates like Tommy Thompson, Scott Brown and Linda Lingle lose the Tea Party is going to be intolerable for the next 4 years or so.

McMahon is a complete moderate, by the by. The only reason she's swept every primary she's been in is her tendency to crush everyone else in funding.
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« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2012, 05:22:30 pm »
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I remember the CT polls in 2010 being far too Republican, as it turned out. Same again, or is this actually happening?
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« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2012, 05:27:29 pm »
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This is closer then i expected but expect Murphy to ride Obama's coattails.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #16 on: October 04, 2012, 06:00:28 pm »
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PPP said it best: in Connecticut when you have an unpopular Democrat against an unpopular Republican, the Democrat will win.
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« Reply #17 on: October 04, 2012, 06:26:06 pm »
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PPP said it best: in Connecticut when you have an unpopular Democrat against an unpopular Republican, the Democrat will win.

McMahon's favorables are at +4 (45/41) and +8 with independents.  Murphy is at -4 (36/40) and under water with independents (-15).  So....
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« Reply #18 on: October 04, 2012, 06:34:53 pm »
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PPP said it best: in Connecticut when you have an unpopular Democrat against an unpopular Republican, the Democrat will win.
Exactly.  It's an unwritten rule of politics.
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« Reply #19 on: October 05, 2012, 11:47:21 am »
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I'll make a prediction:
If Romney is elected President, McMahon wins. If Obama is elected President, Shays wins.
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« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2012, 12:17:24 pm »
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I'll make a prediction:
If Romney is elected President, McMahon wins. If Obama is elected President, Shays wins.


Cheesy   
 and maybe Lugar wins too! Grin
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« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2012, 10:45:45 pm »
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This is really becoming embarrassing. Obama needs to send some cash and campaign surrogates to Connecticut pronto.
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J. J.
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« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2012, 11:35:00 pm »
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This is really becoming embarrassing. Obama needs to send some cash and campaign surrogates to Connecticut pronto.

He has none to spare.
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« Reply #23 on: October 06, 2012, 12:29:43 am »
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Apparently Republican polling is showing Romney ahead in CT-05.  If that's true, Obama might actually only be ahead by high single digits statewide.
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« Reply #24 on: October 06, 2012, 03:56:23 pm »
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Apparently Republican polling is showing Romney ahead in CT-05.  If that's true, Obama might actually only be ahead by high single digits statewide.

That's at least somewhat consistent with his unusually good poll numbers statewide. Remember, Quinnipiac only has Obama up by 12, with PPP showing Obama's lead at 13. That's about on par with where opinion polls have Michigan, and to some extent, Pennsylvania.
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