Kerry killed Bush on 09/30/04
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 16, 2024, 11:50:52 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  Kerry killed Bush on 09/30/04
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Kerry killed Bush on 09/30/04  (Read 2155 times)
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 04, 2012, 10:04:36 AM »

massacred him
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2012, 10:08:09 AM »


His performance was good, but Bush's performance was not bad. 

Obama's performance was arguably on a level of GHW Bush in 1992.
Logged
they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,911
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2012, 10:10:57 AM »

Bush's performance was not bad. 

Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha.
Logged
Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,053


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2012, 10:24:42 AM »

Bush did pretty badly in the first debate. I remember thinking he was done after that night. Kerry didn't look great though, but Dubya almost sounded incompetent that night. He did manage to turn it around in the next 2 though and narrowly won.
Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2012, 10:41:53 AM »


His performance was good, but Bush's performance was not bad. 

Obama's performance was arguably on a level of GHW Bush in 1992.
Logged
dirks
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 416


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 04, 2012, 11:16:57 AM »

Cheney came out and crushed Edwards in the VP debate though, and then Bush was terrific in the town hall debate. The third Bush/Kerry debate nobody remembers, nothing of note came from it

The key here is how Obama responds, will he be witty, jovial, and able to connect with the audience...or will he be distant and professorial?
Logged
後援会
koenkai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,265


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 04, 2012, 01:07:49 PM »

The CNN poll asking who won gave Romney the most lopsided victory in any debate they had ever asked the question about. And they had been asking since 1984. In fact, it gave Romney 67%, where no previous debate had ever cracked 60%.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 04, 2012, 01:24:31 PM »

http://www.livingroomcandidate.org/commercials/2004/faces-of-frustration-web

The saving grace for Obama is unlike some past debate losses, there arent specific moments or themes that can be shown in quick clips to point at and laugh like Bush's frustrations in 2004, Gore's sighing in 2000, Bush looking at his watch in 1992. Nor were there any gaffes or good zingers. So his loss was more a general thing of him seeming to just not be aggressive or energetic or concise.
Logged
cavalcade
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 739


Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 04, 2012, 01:24:31 PM »

1. Kerry gained 3 points after that debate.

2. Kerry lost the election.

Both of those things are true, embrace one or the other or both as you wish.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,916


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 04, 2012, 01:55:40 PM »

Mondale also won the first 1984 debate convincingly. Obama can still win the election, but he's going to have to work very hard to turn things around.
Logged
renegadedemocrat
Rookie
**
Posts: 88


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 04, 2012, 03:44:03 PM »

The incumbent always struggles in the first debate. The only debate that was a game changer was in 1980, but there were other issues that assisted that. Mondale won the 1st debate in 1984, one can argue Perot won the 1st debate in 1992, and Kerry destroyed Bush in 2004. It doesn't matter that much, because as we've seen, Bush still won in 2004, and Reagan's performance in the general election goes without saying. This won't be a game changer.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2012, 03:51:55 PM »

People remember Reagan's "I wont let my opponent's youth and experience" line from 1984, but that was the second debate after appearing out of it in the first debate and people started talking about how he may be too old
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2012, 06:35:36 PM »


His performance was good, but Bush's performance was not bad. 

Obama's performance was arguably on a level of GHW Bush in 1992.

This convenient revisionism is getting really, really grating... G W Bush was horrible, you want to think otherwise, feel free, but you'd be wrong.
Logged
Grumpier Than Uncle Joe
GM3PRP
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,080
Greece
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 04, 2012, 07:57:06 PM »

Yes, Kerry's debate prowess won him the election and helped Obama slaughter Romney in the first debate........oh, wait......nevermind.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,451
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 04, 2012, 08:56:10 PM »


His performance was good, but Bush's performance was not bad. 

Obama's performance was arguably on a level of GHW Bush in 1992.

I actually re-watched the first debate from '04 just the other day. Don't kid yourselves. GW Bush was horrendous. Far worse than Obama was in this debate.
Logged
courts
Ghost_white
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,467
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 04, 2012, 09:03:04 PM »

jj finally reached nirvana
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 04, 2012, 09:05:12 PM »


His performance was good, but Bush's performance was not bad. 

Obama's performance was arguably on a level of GHW Bush in 1992.

This convenient revisionism is getting really, really grating... G W Bush was horrible, you want to think otherwise, feel free, but you'd be wrong.

Not at the GHW Bush (1992) or Carter(1980) levels.  This thing was close to Bush 1992 (though not quite as bad).
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 04, 2012, 09:12:04 PM »

Gallup gave 2004 numbers:

Kerry:  53

Bush:  37

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/2004-09-30-debate-poll.htm

Obama would consider it a gift from God if he only lost by a 16 point gap.  Roll Eyes
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 04, 2012, 09:16:26 PM »

Gallup gave 2004 numbers:

Kerry:  53

Bush:  37

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/2004-09-30-debate-poll.htm

Obama would consider it a gift from God if he only lost by a 16 point gap.  Roll Eyes



You really have turned into 'one of them'...
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,664
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 04, 2012, 09:39:57 PM »


You can't turn into what you always were.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 04, 2012, 09:49:26 PM »

Gallup gave 2004 numbers:

Kerry:  53

Bush:  37

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/2004-09-30-debate-poll.htm

Obama would consider it a gift from God if he only lost by a 16 point gap.  Roll Eyes



You really have turned into 'one of them'...

No, just not doing revisionist history, like you. 

I would question how much of a difference it will make in the poll numbers, but it is delusional to claim that this was just as bad as 2004.  CNN started polling in this in 1984 and they have had anyone winning a debate above 60%, until now.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 04, 2012, 09:56:33 PM »

Gallup gave 2004 numbers:

Kerry:  53

Bush:  37

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/2004-09-30-debate-poll.htm

Obama would consider it a gift from God if he only lost by a 16 point gap.  Roll Eyes



You really have turned into 'one of them'...

No, just not doing revisionist history, like you. 

I would question how much of a difference it will make in the poll numbers, but it is delusional to claim that this was just as bad as 2004.  CNN started polling in this in 1984 and they have had anyone winning a debate above 60%, until now.

Wow... deflection... you've been studying Politico's techniques...

A sanp poll does reflect something, that's true... but what matters is how people react to the outcome... that is something we don't know.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,451
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 04, 2012, 10:00:54 PM »

Gallup gave 2004 numbers:

Kerry:  53

Bush:  37

http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/news/politicselections/nation/polls/2004-09-30-debate-poll.htm

Obama would consider it a gift from God if he only lost by a 16 point gap.  Roll Eyes



You really have turned into 'one of them'...

No, just not doing revisionist history, like you. 

I would question how much of a difference it will make in the poll numbers, but it is delusional to claim that this was just as bad as 2004.  CNN started polling in this in 1984 and they have had anyone winning a debate above 60%, until now.

Wow... deflection... you've been studying Politico's techniques...

A sanp poll does reflect something, that's true... but what matters is how people react to the outcome... that is something we don't know.

Snap polls are also impacted by who watched the debate in the first place.

Btw, JJ, CNN/ORC is not the same thing as Gallup so a direct comparison between the numbers can't be made.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,664
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 04, 2012, 10:02:12 PM »

Would recommend that non Jay Jay posters desist immediately, lest they want to waste a surprising amount of time arguing with a barrier made of fired clay.
Logged
they don't love you like i love you
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 112,911
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 04, 2012, 10:11:23 PM »

Would recommend that non Jay Jay posters desist immediately, lest they want to waste a surprising amount of time arguing with a barrier made of fired clay.

I don't like using the ignore button, but it's getting to the point where I may have no other choice.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.049 seconds with 13 queries.