IL-12, 13, 17: Republicans poised to sweep all downstate districts.

[krazen1211]

From Weaskamerica:



IL-12:

Plummer 44
Eynart 40

Romney 48
Obama 45


IL-13:

Davis 44
Gill 40

Romney 48
Obama 45


IL-17:

Schilling 48
Bustos 44

Romney 44
Obama 48





Great news! This will certainly be a lesson for a century on how to break a vicious gerrymander.

[knyphausen]

WAA is not a very credible pollster...

[Miles]

WAA is not a very credible pollster...

Well, they're not the worst.

The Presidential toplines look pretty Republican-friendly to me though.

[Vosem]

The Presidential toplines look pretty Republican-friendly to me though.

Is it just me, or has Illinois swung pretty heavily R this year? Not that it matters presidentially, but Quinn and the Legislature are pretty unpopular, and it could have downballot effects (similar to what's going on in CT).

[krazen1211]

The Presidential toplines look pretty Republican-friendly to me though.

Is it just me, or has Illinois swung pretty heavily R this year? Not that it matters presidentially, but Quinn and the Legislature are pretty unpopular, and it could have downballot effects (similar to what's going on in CT).

Illinois Democrats got greedy with these 3 districts. Perhaps if they lose all 3 they will do a redistricting in 2013 to only target 2.

[Niemeyerite]

WAAaaaa

[muon2]

The Presidential toplines look pretty Republican-friendly to me though.

Is it just me, or has Illinois swung pretty heavily R this year? Not that it matters presidentially, but Quinn and the Legislature are pretty unpopular, and it could have downballot effects (similar to what's going on in CT).

Illinois Democrats got greedy with these 3 districts. Perhaps if they lose all 3 they will do a redistricting in 2013 to only target 2.

Had they known that Costello was retiring and that Gill would be a nominee again I think they would have been tempted to do that last year. The DCCC pushed to make IL the place to compensate for GOP maps elsewhere and they maximized their risk downstate to do that. IL-12 was only D+2 and IL-13 D+1 and that includes the Obama home state effect of 2008. A more solid D district could have been set up instead.