Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
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  Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?
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Author Topic: Will Romney overtake Obama on the RCP average?  (Read 1288 times)
Ty440
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« on: October 06, 2012, 01:04:52 PM »

From Obama +4 to Obama +1.4 in less than a week.

The republicans on the forum will go bananas if this happens lol

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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2012, 01:07:47 PM »

We'll see next Monday and Tuesday when everyone releases their polling.
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Biden 2024
wolfentoad66
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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2012, 01:08:42 PM »

I would say no, but wait until monday and tuesday first. Obama will probably be .2 to .9 on the RCP Average.
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Ty440
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2012, 01:12:13 PM »

I'm thinking if it happens Romney will max out at around  0.5% ahead and then slowly decline.
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Devils30
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2012, 01:24:21 PM »

Yeah but it will only last a few days
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2012, 10:35:49 PM »
« Edited: October 06, 2012, 10:37:36 PM by Former President Polnut »

Romney needs to get ahead of Obama by a decent amount now to make sure it can last for a month. I expect them pull level by Tuesday at the latest...
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2012, 10:46:20 PM »

I just noticed that something big happened today for Romney. He hit an all time high of 47%, which is higher than when he pulled to a tie at 46.7 after the RNC. If the race settles to a tie in the next few days both would likely be higher than 46.7, maybe as high as 48% each.

But I think he will actually pass Obama this week by a little bit, which will be considered major news as it hasnt happened all year.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2012, 10:52:49 PM »

Yeah but it will only last a few days
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2012, 11:01:00 PM »

I'm not surprised - I always thought his  absolute floor was 45% so seeing greater GOP consolidation and a second look from some indies and soft Dems should surprise anyone to see him at 47%
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Maxwell
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« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2012, 11:40:16 PM »

the highest Romney ever got was a .5% lead back when Obama's approval ratings where in the low 40s before the race was talked about. I think Romney can tie the race in the RCP, maybe even pull ahead by .1% though.
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Ty440
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« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2012, 03:34:39 PM »

Bump...Romney is now the highest he has ever been on the RCP average..47.4%
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2012, 03:54:42 PM »

Bump...Romney is now the highest he has ever been on the RCP average..47.4%
Obama is up by only .5"%. But RCP is including the wrong Gallup Tracking Numbers, they have the race tied at 47%, but Obama actually leads 50-45.
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milhouse24
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« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2012, 04:06:42 PM »

I would think the Liberals would be rather upset about this as well.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #13 on: October 08, 2012, 04:10:04 PM »

Depends whether or not RCP goes back to using the real Gallup numbers tomorrow.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #14 on: October 08, 2012, 04:15:28 PM »

I would think the Liberals would be rather upset about this as well.

Not really, we understand context...
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後援会
koenkai
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« Reply #15 on: October 08, 2012, 04:51:34 PM »

I would say no, but wait until monday and tuesday first. Obama will probably be .2 to .9 on the RCP Average.

This seems like it was accurate. Anyways, I don't think Romney will pull ahead of Obama yet and I don't really think he needs to. There are still two more debates...
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