Charlie's a democrat hack, in part evidenced by his willingness to appear on MSNBC so often. Plus, he was saying last week that the race was over. I watched this guy in 2010 and his race ratings. He had to adjust the ratings in the last couple of weeks to show the blowout that would occur. In 2006, he cast the race early for democrats. Also, the polls are wrong - the dems don't have the enthusiasm, they don't have the anger, they don't have the need to save this country, they don't even like the country for that matter.
A more responsible race rating set is Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball. Yes it shows an Obama lead, but Larry has way better instincts and connections and usually sets the ratings about where the election is and is only off by a state or two in the electoral count. He has never called the race over, often offers historical nuggets of wisdom in his twitter posts and gives the most balanced view of the race you can get.
FiveThirtyEight cannot be trusted. One, Nate's an LGBT activist, and I'm sure there's no love lost on republicans. Nate Silver enthusiastically updates his model and writes an article as soon as better polls come in for democrats, but today, he didn't factor in all the Romney polls showing leads in Virginia and Florida and Ohio, which would change both the Now Cast and the November 6th results. It also doesn't consider intangibles like the Crystal Ball does. He was also purposefully late to the blowout in 2010.
It's always a "surprise", a "shock" when republicans do well. I
Are you f***ing serious?
"nhmagic" is a hack blinded by his hatred for anything outside his political view. Contempt for LGBT people under all circumstances is almost a necessary part of such contempt.
The 2010 election reflected right-wingers blind-siding moderates and liberals with well-heeled plutocrats funding right-wing populism and then funding stealth candidates who then doing as 'programmed', probably even closing down Congress early. Maybe the House not being in session does less damage to its reputation than does being in session.
The stealth candidates of 2010 have exposed what they or the puppeteers behind them want for America. That changes much of the political reality.
