Cook: Private OH polls "ugly" for Romney

[nhmagic]

Charlie's a democrat hack, in part evidenced by his willingness to appear on MSNBC so often.   Plus, he was saying last week that the race was over.  I watched this guy in 2010 and his race ratings.  He had to adjust the ratings in the last couple of weeks to show the blowout that would occur.  In 2006, he cast the race early for democrats.   Also, the polls are wrong - the dems don't have the enthusiasm, they don't have the anger, they don't have the need to save this country, they don't even like the country for that matter.

A more responsible race rating set is Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball.  Yes it shows an Obama lead, but Larry has way better instincts and connections and usually sets the ratings about where the election is and is only off by a state or two in the electoral count.  He has never called the race over, often offers historical nuggets of wisdom in his twitter posts and gives the most balanced view of the race you can get.

FiveThirtyEight cannot be trusted.  One, Nate's an LGBT activist, and I'm sure there's no love lost on republicans.  Nate Silver enthusiastically updates his model and writes an article as soon as better polls come in for democrats, but today, he didn't factor in all the Romney polls showing leads in Virginia and Florida and Ohio, which would change both the Now Cast and the November 6th results.  It also doesn't consider intangibles like the Crystal Ball does.  He was also purposefully late to the blowout in 2010.  

It's always a "surprise", a "shock" when republicans do well.  I

[nhmagic]

So we're discrediting the person who correctly predicted 49/50 states and all the Senate races in 2008... because he's gay?

Stay classy dingbats.

No, I just made the point that being LGBT makes one more hostile to republicans in general. I am not anti-LGBT in any way so don't try and play that on me.  It's just that they're extra loony toons about republicans right now...

He does get credit for predicting election in 2008, but I believe his model lends itself to democratic victories.  I suppose I wish he would stop reporting chance of winning showing an 89% chance for Obama to win because it creates "narrative".  That bothers me.

And as for the they dont even like the country comment, I was just angry and thinking of elected democrats when I said that, not the folks.