Future of the parties (user search)
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Author Topic: Future of the parties  (Read 1786 times)
Spanish Moss
Jr. Member
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Posts: 395
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« on: October 17, 2012, 07:40:37 AM »

My predictions for 20-30 years from now:

The Democrats will continue moving rightward.  Politicians now who are moderate Republicans but would definitely not be Democrat by today's standards, those with the same views at that time will be the norm in the Democratic Party.  They'll still have progressive Kucinich/Sanders types, but they'll remain more few and far between.  The more right leaning wing of the party will be even more conservative, but not to the degree of the "moral majority" Rick Santorum types.

The Republicans - one of two things will happen.  Either they will have continued to split between more libertarian types and social conservatives, leading the party weakened as both sides make concessions, with the wishy-washiness of the party in general pushing independents toward the Democrats.  Or - a third party wealthy Ross Perot type who is both a social libertarian and economic conservative (but not to the degree of Gary Johnson or Ron Paul) will run, leading the Republican party fragmenting in different directions (like my first example, but far more severe) to try and prevent the movement behind that candidate from taking away potential Republican voters - effectively crushing the Republican party for a decade or so, if not more.

Either way - the Democrats, as a party, will fare far better.  However, liberals and progressives will certainly lose... really, the only winners being people who are currently moderate Republicans.  And the only way for true liberals and progressives to prevent this is start voting third party to force the Democrats to actually have to earn their vote rather than take it for granted.  But I seriously doubt that will happen on any meaningful level.
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Spanish Moss
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 395
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2012, 07:44:00 AM »

(Can someone give me the link to where to make maps?  I'd like to post one here.)
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Spanish Moss
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 395
United States


« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2012, 02:47:43 AM »

Based on the idea that the Democrats will move further rightward while Republicans become less neo-con (with the neo-con movement not being much of a factor in either party) and more libertarian, my best guess is the following for around the year 2030 (tossup states obviously in gray):

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