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| | |-+  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Tender Branson, Sheriff Buford TX Justice)
| | | |-+  2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)
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Author Topic: 2 polls show Romney-lead in CO (Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin (R)/ACU)  (Read 936 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 06, 2012, 11:30:31 am »

Colorado: Romney vs. Obama   Gravis Marketing   Obama 46, Romney 49   Romney +3

Colorado: Romney vs. Obama   McLaughlin/ACU (R)   Obama 46, Romney 50   Romney +4

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Gravis_CO_1006.pdf

http://mclaughlinonline.com/lib/sitefiles/National_ACU_10-3-12_Presentation_ACU.pdf
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Umengus
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2012, 11:44:30 am »
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bounce
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2012, 11:45:47 am »

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Maybe, but still 2 very questionable polls.
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cavalcade
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2012, 11:49:09 am »
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It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2012, 11:52:54 am »
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It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.

Not really.

They would be the first ones to capitalize on Romney's victory.
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2012, 11:55:23 am »
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Romney made about 3 stops in CO during that week, Paul Ryan made two stops the week before the debates and Ann Romney made a stop on Tuesday.  Him winning the first debate at DU made an impact on the state.  Still, a tight race.
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Umengus
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2012, 11:55:31 am »
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Maybe, but still 2 very questionable polls.

ok but gravis had Obama leading in their last CO poll. And the Mclaughlin poll is pre-debate (but their national poll has obama by 4).
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
cavalcade
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2012, 11:59:14 am »
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It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.

Not really.

They would be the first ones to capitalize on Romney's victory.

I'm not surprised that they are releasing polls, I'm surprised that nobody else is (at least state level polls).  I guess we get WI-PPP tonight.
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pepper11
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« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2012, 12:13:10 pm »
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It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.

Not really.

They would be the first ones to capitalize on Romney's victory.

Exactly!
 
And people thought it was crazy to say there was no MSM polling the weekend after the R convention but there was excessive polling the week after the D convention. It goes both ways.
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Umengus
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« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2012, 12:23:23 pm »
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It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.

Not really.

They would be the first ones to capitalize on Romney's victory.

I'm not surprised that they are releasing polls, I'm surprised that nobody else is (at least state level polls).  I guess we get WI-PPP tonight.

"PublicPolicyPolling‏@ppppolls

 Romney has definitely gained since our last Wisconsin poll, just a question of the magnitude. We'll tell you tonight"
 
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Re: France 2012: the official thread
« Reply #622 on: July 25, 2011, 04:44:20 pm » 

Quote from: Umengus on July 25, 2011, 03:19:09 pm

against Aubry, Sarkozy will win. Aubry is a very bad candidate for prime time : no charisma, no sympathy, muslim connection, stupid ideas,... and sarkozy is a good candidate...

but against hollande, sarkozy will lose."

Censured by REALPOLITIK due to "offensive content".

"It ought to be noted that there's no freedom of speech here." xahar
J. J.
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« Reply #10 on: October 06, 2012, 12:26:37 pm »
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bounce

Maybe, but still 2 very questionable polls.

The guy was selling mortgages until 3 years ago.  It is a very questionable poll.
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J. J.

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Devils30
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« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2012, 12:50:55 pm »
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8% of the electorate hispanic in CO, when it was 13% in 2008. Not a chance
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Wolfentoad
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« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2012, 12:51:57 pm »
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Gravis Marketing has no proven background being accurate, so I discard it until results show it's accurate.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: October 06, 2012, 12:52:18 pm »

It is odd that basically all the post-debate polling has come from R house effect firms.

Not really.

They would be the first ones to capitalize on Romney's victory.

I'm not surprised that they are releasing polls, I'm surprised that nobody else is (at least state level polls).  I guess we get WI-PPP tonight.

"PublicPolicyPolling‏@ppppolls

 Romney has definitely gained since our last Wisconsin poll, just a question of the magnitude. We'll tell you tonight"
 

That could be anything. But I guess it's Obama+3 still (was Obama+7 recently, all other polls showed Obama by double-digits, so PPP is lean R in Wisconsin).
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #14 on: October 06, 2012, 12:55:32 pm »
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I like how the Republican pollsters are trying to set such a narrative.
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Bernie would probably win Vermont if Obama were deemed to have more than 272 evs in the vag.
pepper11
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« Reply #15 on: October 06, 2012, 02:21:04 pm »
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I like how the Republican pollsters are trying to set such a narrative.

They are and its working. Just like the MSM tried to set a similar narrative after the Dem convention. That one worked as well.
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J. J.
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« Reply #16 on: October 07, 2012, 12:11:56 pm »
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I like how the Republican pollsters are trying to set such a narrative.

You mean like:



The guy was selling mortgages until 3 years ago.  It is a very questionable poll.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
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"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

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(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
oakvale
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« Reply #17 on: October 07, 2012, 12:27:53 pm »
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I don't think anyone doubts that Romney will get some bounce... but these aren't the polls to prove it.
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