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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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| | |-+  Who wins in Venezuela tomorrow / Who do you want to win ?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: In the Presidential election ...
Chavez/Chavez   -11 (32.4%)
Chavez/Capriles-Radonski   -12 (35.3%)
Capriles-Radonski/Chavez   -1 (2.9%)
Capriles-Radonski/Capriles-Radonski   -4 (11.8%)
Chavez/None of the 2   -6 (17.6%)
Capriles-Radonski/None of the 2   -0 (0%)
I don't care   -0 (0%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 34

Author Topic: Who wins in Venezuela tomorrow / Who do you want to win ?  (Read 686 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.23, S: -5.39

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« on: October 06, 2012, 11:58:22 am »
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vs.
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I left.
Franzl
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2012, 11:59:51 am »
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Chavez / not Chavez
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I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.

To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.

Cheers.
Tender Branson
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E: -7.23, S: -5.39

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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2012, 12:02:03 pm »
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Quote from: Senator Franzl on October 06, 2012, 11:59:51 am
Chavez / not Chavez

You need to vote Option 5 then ... Wink
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2012, 12:06:37 pm »
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Chavez/HCR
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+7.35, +3.65

Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2012, 12:36:48 pm »
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Where's the "None of the two/Chavez" option? I mean, why should we assume the eventual loser and their supporters will have accepted defeat by tomorrow night? Seems far-fetched unless Chavez wins by far more than expected.

(Yes, you're reading right. It seems far-fetched even if Capriles wins by far more than anybody thinks.)
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Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
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drj101
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2012, 12:45:22 pm »
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I voted Chavez/None of the two, but if I had to choose I'd prefer HCR.
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<oakvale> in a moral society drj you would be executed for whatever the f**k that is
Tender Branson
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2012, 12:49:29 pm »
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None of the two/Chavez
None of the two/Capriles

... is impossible, because these 2 will get about 97-98% together. The others will get 2-3% or so.

I know what you mean, but someone will be sworn in as President some day.

Happened even in the US in 2000 ... Tongue
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Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2012, 02:22:54 pm »
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Quote from: Tender Branson on October 06, 2012, 12:49:29 pm
None of the two/Chavez
None of the two/Capriles

... is impossible, because these 2 will get about 97-98% together. The others will get 2-3% or so.

I know what you mean, but someone will be sworn in as President some day.

Happened even in the US in 2000 ... Tongue
But he certainly didn't "win" on election day. The coup that put him in office was weeks later.
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Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
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JulioMadrid
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« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2012, 06:08:09 pm »
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Chavez 54
HCR      46

And I support HCR.
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My evolution:
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13
Vote UKIP!
MasterSanders
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« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2012, 06:18:18 pm »
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I would pull for HCR, but I wouldn't be surprised if Chavez wins by dubious means.
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Californian Tony
Antonio V
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« Reply #10 on: October 06, 2012, 06:30:47 pm »
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Chavez/C-R

I'm gonna be pessimistic, but who knows?
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ModerateCoward
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« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2012, 09:55:59 pm »
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Chavez/Chavez
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Senator Snowstalker
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E: -7.10, S: -3.13

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« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2012, 10:12:17 pm »
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Chavez/neither
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Quote from: 31: A New Bushie on April 30, 2013, 01:33:54 pm
I wouldn't touch the Carnival cruise ships with a 10 foot pole.  Too many things have gone wrong in the last ~6 months for me to even consider it anymore.
Leftbehind
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« Reply #13 on: October 06, 2012, 10:24:22 pm »
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Quote from: Californian Tony on October 06, 2012, 06:30:47 pm
Chavez/C-R

I'm gonna be pessimistic, but who knows?

Same reason I've went for Capriles-Radonski/Chavez.
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E: -8.26 S: -3.3
asexual trans victimologist
Nathan
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« Reply #14 on: October 06, 2012, 10:37:07 pm »
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Chavez/None of these.
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Quote from: Averroës Nix on October 18, 2012, 07:59:32 pm
Professor Nathan: A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights. Can you really trust him?

Quote from: Joe Republic on April 25, 2013, 03:29:18 pm
It's like one minute you're preaching from the pulpit at some exceedingly dull church; the next you're a giving a Womens' Studies lecture at Berkeley.
Tender Branson
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« Reply #15 on: October 07, 2012, 12:39:36 am »
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I revise my earlier prediction and predict an upset win by Capriles:

53-45 Capriles
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RedPrometheus
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« Reply #16 on: October 07, 2012, 06:27:49 am »
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Chavez/Chavez
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Political Matrix

E: -7,74
S: -5,22
Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #17 on: October 07, 2012, 09:22:53 am »
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Chavez will win.  And I used to want HCR to win, but now I know that he wants to privatize state assets and banks and everything.  So, I guess grudgingly HCR.  Maybe the left will be able to find someone who isn't corrupt and opposes the Chavez regime for the same reason as me to beat HCR in 2018.
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in 1968

-7.61 Economic
-7.48 Social
Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #18 on: October 07, 2012, 09:41:17 am »
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The problem is not what HCR wants, the problem is who he is allied with and needs to be if he wants to unite the opposition. No point having some "this personality cult is very camp and is seriously undermining democratization and so is Chavez as a person" third party campaign, the right wouldn't vote for that and Americans wouldn't bankroll that.
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Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
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Lief
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« Reply #19 on: October 07, 2012, 10:07:28 am »
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Chavez, though Capriles and the western press will do their darndest to immediately de-legitimize and cast doubt on the result, so strong is their hatred of democracy for Venezuelans.

edit: pedantic Lewis edit
« Last Edit: October 07, 2012, 06:41:24 pm by Lief »Logged
Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #20 on: October 07, 2012, 10:10:39 am »
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Quote from: Lief on October 07, 2012, 10:07:28 am
Chavez, though Capriles and the western press will do their darndest to immediately de-legitimize and cast doubt on the result, so strong is their hatred of democracy
third world independence. Please, Lief. Try to understand the actual issues.
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Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will


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Lief
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« Reply #21 on: October 07, 2012, 10:58:43 am »
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Quote from: Minion of Midas on October 07, 2012, 10:10:39 am
Quote from: Lief on October 07, 2012, 10:07:28 am
Chavez, though Capriles and the western press will do their darndest to immediately de-legitimize and cast doubt on the result, so strong is their hatred of democracy
third world independence. Please, Lief. Try to understand the actual issues.


same thing, guy
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.23, S: -5.39

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« Reply #22 on: October 07, 2012, 11:59:56 am »
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Anyone else to try a %-prediction of the outcome, so that Julio and I are not the only ones ?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #23 on: October 07, 2012, 12:02:27 pm »
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I'm horrible at # predictions but here goes: 52-48 Chavez.
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+7.35, +3.65

Quote from: Peternerdman on December 31, 2012, 03:34:54 pm
Never thought I'd say this, but I'm praying for another black-yellow majority, and for the SPD to get shattered.  It's exactly what it deserves.
Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #24 on: October 07, 2012, 12:29:17 pm »
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Quote from: Lief on October 07, 2012, 10:58:43 am
Quote from: Minion of Midas on October 07, 2012, 10:10:39 am
Quote from: Lief on October 07, 2012, 10:07:28 am
Chavez, though Capriles and the western press will do their darndest to immediately de-legitimize and cast doubt on the result, so strong is their hatred of democracy
third world independence. Please, Lief. Try to understand the actual issues.


same thing, guy
Democracy is a feelgood term that means a lot of different things to different people - and most of Capriles' Western supporters very much approve of Democracy at home. It's only when browns elect people they haven't precleared that they get itchy.
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Quote from: True Federalist on April 28, 2013, 01:25:07 am
Liberate yourself from Free Will


Kitty's beardgrowing advice to Mitty.
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