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|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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| | |-+  Who wins in Venezuela tomorrow / Who do you want to win ?
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Poll
Question: In the Presidential election ...
Chavez/Chavez   -11 (32.4%)
Chavez/Capriles-Radonski   -12 (35.3%)
Capriles-Radonski/Chavez   -1 (2.9%)
Capriles-Radonski/Capriles-Radonski   -4 (11.8%)
Chavez/None of the 2   -6 (17.6%)
Capriles-Radonski/None of the 2   -0 (0%)
I don't care   -0 (0%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 34

Author Topic: Who wins in Venezuela tomorrow / Who do you want to win ?  (Read 1620 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09

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« on: October 06, 2012, 11:58:22 am »
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vs.

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Franzl
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2012, 11:59:51 am »
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Chavez / not Chavez
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09

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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2012, 12:02:03 pm »
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Chavez / not Chavez

You need to vote Option 5 then ... Wink
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2012, 12:06:37 pm »
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Chavez/HCR
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2012, 12:36:48 pm »
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Where's the "None of the two/Chavez" option? I mean, why should we assume the eventual loser and their supporters will have accepted defeat by tomorrow night? Seems far-fetched unless Chavez wins by far more than expected.

(Yes, you're reading right. It seems far-fetched even if Capriles wins by far more than anybody thinks.)
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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
Kitteh
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2012, 12:45:22 pm »
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I voted Chavez/None of the two, but if I had to choose I'd prefer HCR.
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This thread reminds me that I should be somewhere else having sex.

Why is the cat freak lady registered in the Pacific?
Tender Branson
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09

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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2012, 12:49:29 pm »
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None of the two/Chavez
None of the two/Capriles

... is impossible, because these 2 will get about 97-98% together. The others will get 2-3% or so.

I know what you mean, but someone will be sworn in as President some day.

Happened even in the US in 2000 ... Tongue
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2012, 02:22:54 pm »
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None of the two/Chavez
None of the two/Capriles

... is impossible, because these 2 will get about 97-98% together. The others will get 2-3% or so.

I know what you mean, but someone will be sworn in as President some day.

Happened even in the US in 2000 ... Tongue
But he certainly didn't "win" on election day. The coup that put him in office was weeks later.
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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
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JulioMadrid
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« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2012, 06:08:09 pm »
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Chavez 54
HCR      46

And I support HCR.
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Vote UKIP!
MasterSanders
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« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2012, 06:18:18 pm »
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I would pull for HCR, but I wouldn't be surprised if Chavez wins by dubious means.
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Antonio V
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E: -6.45, S: -4.87

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« Reply #10 on: October 06, 2012, 06:30:47 pm »
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Chavez/C-R

I'm gonna be pessimistic, but who knows?
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HashCAN     americans saw the EP elections and people cringing at Europeans being morons and electing Nazis; so they massively said "NO" and decided to prove that they're still bigger morons



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LastVoter
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« Reply #11 on: October 06, 2012, 09:55:59 pm »
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Chavez/Chavez
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Snowstalker
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« Reply #12 on: October 06, 2012, 10:12:17 pm »
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Chavez/neither
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Acting like I'm Morrissey w/o the wit
Leftbehind
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« Reply #13 on: October 06, 2012, 10:24:22 pm »
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Chavez/C-R

I'm gonna be pessimistic, but who knows?

Same reason I've went for Capriles-Radonski/Chavez.
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asexual trans victimologist
Nathan
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« Reply #14 on: October 06, 2012, 10:37:07 pm »
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Chavez/None of these.
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A shameless agrarian collectivist with no respect for private property or individual rights.

His idea of freedom is - it is a bad thing and should be stopped at all costs.

Nathan-land.  As much fun as watching paint dry... literally.
Tender Branson
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« Reply #15 on: October 07, 2012, 12:39:36 am »
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I revise my earlier prediction and predict an upset win by Capriles:

53-45 Capriles
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RedPrometheus
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« Reply #16 on: October 07, 2012, 06:27:49 am »
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Chavez/Chavez
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Political Matrix

E: -7,74
S: -5,22
Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #17 on: October 07, 2012, 09:22:53 am »
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Chavez will win.  And I used to want HCR to win, but now I know that he wants to privatize state assets and banks and everything.  So, I guess grudgingly HCR.  Maybe the left will be able to find someone who isn't corrupt and opposes the Chavez regime for the same reason as me to beat HCR in 2018.
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-7.61 Economic
-7.48 Social
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #18 on: October 07, 2012, 09:41:17 am »
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The problem is not what HCR wants, the problem is who he is allied with and needs to be if he wants to unite the opposition. No point having some "this personality cult is very camp and is seriously undermining democratization and so is Chavez as a person" third party campaign, the right wouldn't vote for that and Americans wouldn't bankroll that.
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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
Lief
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« Reply #19 on: October 07, 2012, 10:07:28 am »
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Chavez, though Capriles and the western press will do their darndest to immediately de-legitimize and cast doubt on the result, so strong is their hatred of democracy for Venezuelans.

edit: pedantic Lewis edit
« Last Edit: October 07, 2012, 06:41:24 pm by Lief »Logged

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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #20 on: October 07, 2012, 10:10:39 am »
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Chavez, though Capriles and the western press will do their darndest to immediately de-legitimize and cast doubt on the result, so strong is their hatred of democracy
third world independence. Please, Lief. Try to understand the actual issues.
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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
Lief
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« Reply #21 on: October 07, 2012, 10:58:43 am »
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Chavez, though Capriles and the western press will do their darndest to immediately de-legitimize and cast doubt on the result, so strong is their hatred of democracy
third world independence. Please, Lief. Try to understand the actual issues.


same thing, guy
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09

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« Reply #22 on: October 07, 2012, 11:59:56 am »
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Anyone else to try a %-prediction of the outcome, so that Julio and I are not the only ones ?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #23 on: October 07, 2012, 12:02:27 pm »
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I'm horrible at # predictions but here goes: 52-48 Chavez.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
only back for the worldcup
Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #24 on: October 07, 2012, 12:29:17 pm »
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Chavez, though Capriles and the western press will do their darndest to immediately de-legitimize and cast doubt on the result, so strong is their hatred of democracy
third world independence. Please, Lief. Try to understand the actual issues.


same thing, guy
Democracy is a feelgood term that means a lot of different things to different people - and most of Capriles' Western supporters very much approve of Democracy at home. It's only when browns elect people they haven't precleared that they get itchy.

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"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
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