I actually agree that Race is a factor, but it has actually helped increase Obama's perceived lead in the polls. Its called "The Obama Effect" similar to the Bradley effect.
The liberal media and liberals activists have created a protective Halo around Obama because he is this "Black Savior" and average voters are push by Pop Culture to tell pollsters and their friends that they Blindly support the President.
But Obama's white support is very soft and unreliable. Most white voters care about the Economy, and 8% or 7.8% unemployment is still very bad and uncomfortable. Black unemployment is far worse and Black voters are equally upset about the economy and Obama's job performance.
Bottom line, Obama's supporters are subconsciously lying to pollsters and won't remember to vote for him on election day, if they vote at all.
"Soft" support counts as much as "hard" support at this stage. It's one vote, either way.
Despite a putrid economy, President Obama can now run on it and win. The economy is more stable than it had been, and there is now no chance that the American economy collapses in time to wreck the President's chance of re-election. Such economic improvement as we have is without a boom that can go bust and without reliance on infrastructure projects that sop up construction workers who will compete with recent college grads for retail and restaurant jobs.
President Obama has unwavering support among blacks and Latinos, among Jews, among Arab-Americans, government employees, and homosexuals. Sure, there is some overlap. With roughly 40% support among white voters, that is enough to win states with 20% minority voters. He has done nothing to further offend conservative white, rural voters.
Mitt Romney has promised that he will make real estate investment attractive again... but what can he do to get people to invest in something that failed so catastrophically so recently? Speculative booms that have recently failed don't restart until those who remember the recent failure are no longer the only potential customers.
