PPP Virginia: Obama Still Ahead, 50-47

[Alcon]

If it more than +1, he is.

By "he," you mean Obama, and by "what," you mean still ahead?  Why +1?  (Unless you mean up in the poll...where actually he needs to just be up one respondent, even if that rounds to a tie.)

[Alcon]

Again Party ID is just an attitude, not a demographic.

Speaking of Demographics. this poll has 75% White, 18% Black. In 2008 that was 70% and 20%. Also this poll has 22% olds and 12% youngs when in 2008 it was 11% olds and 22% youngs. It also has 53% female when it was 54% female. In other words it underweights women, blacks, hispanics and young people. If this poll were "unskewed" to match the 2008 demograhics it would have a huge Obama lead, not that I'm saying it should I'm just making a point about this silly party ID obsession.

Party ID is possibly the greatest factor in determining how someone will vote.

Yes, which is the main reason that re-weighting for party ID can be really problematic.