PPP Virginia: Obama Still Ahead, 50-47

[Adam Griffin]

It's a bit weird that WI is tighter than VA. Were the polls both done over the same three days?

It doesn't surprise me. Virginia has been perhaps the fastest Democratic-trending state of the past 5-6 years. I think it's more or less reached stability, but could become 1-2 points more Democratic by 2016.

This is great news. There's no way Romney can win without OH/VA, unless he sweeps NC, WI, FL, IA, NV, CO & one of the following - MN, NH, PA, MI or NM.

[Adam Griffin]

I'm wondering if there are quite a few examples. Georgia has some examples of this trend; when you factor out suburbs in Georgia that have less than 80% white population, you see some slightly smaller Democratic vote tallies in the northern and southwestern suburbs of Atlanta when compared to nearby rural areas. You also see the same trend around Columbus, Augusta, and Savannah, with the rural areas becoming slightly more Democratic.