CO-Rasmussen: Obama+1
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Author Topic: CO-Rasmussen: Obama+1  (Read 736 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 08, 2012, 09:42:29 AM »
« edited: October 08, 2012, 12:29:11 PM by Dave Leip »
3-point bounce for Obama since their last poll there:

49-48 Obama

Was 47-45 Romney before ...

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afleitch
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2012, 09:46:57 AM »
What on earth is going on?
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Brittain33
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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2012, 09:48:17 AM »
Has Scotty started adjusting his turnout models in preparation for the election?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2012, 09:50:17 AM »

Well, it could be argued that Obama was ahead in CO by about 5-7 ahead of the debate and Romney got a 5-point bounce there. Even though Rasmussen actually shows a 3-point Obama bounce compared with their last poll ... Tongue
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2012, 09:51:06 AM »

Unemployment drop? Surprised it's having this much of an effect, if that's the case.

Also keep in mind that we're approaching the point where Rasmussen really needs to start getting it right.
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Person Man
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« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2012, 11:25:36 AM »
Yeah. Obama is probably at 50% of the two-party vote in Colorado.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2012, 11:39:30 AM »
Obama +4 then?  Makes sense. 
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5280
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2012, 02:08:15 PM »
CO is still toss up.
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opebo
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« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2012, 03:05:23 PM »

I suppose, but if Romney couldn't get a lead from Rasmussen during his biggest (so far) bounce.. it doesn't exactly look wonderful for him, does it?
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2012, 03:14:14 PM »

I think this is more about Obama overperforming his national numbers in the electoral college than anything else.  If Ras is right, Romney needs to lead 50% to 48% nationally to be comfortable about IA, CO and OH.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2012, 03:14:56 PM »
Rasmussen is trying to shake off his image.
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