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|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Mr. Morden)
| | |-+  The Presidential Revovlving Door?
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Author Topic: The Presidential Revovlving Door?  (Read 581 times)
Simfan34
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« on: October 08, 2012, 08:03:44 pm »
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Let us assume that Obama is defeated come November. Romney, as predicted, imposes austerity, sinks the economy, gives the rich a big old tax cut, deepens the debt, yadda yadda yadda. Come 2016, he is defeated by... Andrew Cuomo. Cuomo with his Nixon-esque personality is intransigent, the economy stagnates, China overtakes us, people die somewhere, et cetera, et cetera. He is defeated by... John Thune? He looks too generic and yet too much like Barney Stimson, so he fails at life and loses too. So we've had:
 
44: Barack Obama (D-IL)
45: Mitt Romney (R-MA)
46: Andrew Cuomo (D-NY)
47: John Thune (R-SD)
48: Julian Castro (D-TX)
2009-2013
2013-2017
2017-2021
2021-2025
2025-

*That one woman who had those racy Christmas party photos.

With rising voter cynicism, the anti-party movements like the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street, polarization, the underinformed swing voter, and declining long-term social and economic prospects, is this what might befall the US? Would this set off a vicious cycle of economic and political degradation due to high political volatility, leading to even more of the sort? What would the results of this sort of scenario be?
« Last Edit: October 09, 2012, 12:05:37 am by ስምፋን፫፬ »Logged


What will happen if a hen impregnates an asteroid? Certainly, this will result in a snow storm over the Canary Islands, which will guarantee an FDP landslide in the next Nigerian election. Do you get me?
GLPman
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2012, 09:40:20 pm »
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If anything, this scenario would lead to the creation of more viable political parties after voters completely lose faith in our two mainstream parties.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2012, 10:43:18 pm »
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The problem is that a competitive multi-party election would look like this electorally (2004 mock election):



Election 2024:

Julian Castro (D-TX)
Rand Paul (L-KY)
Margaret Hoover (R-NY)
Rod Dreher (C-LA)
Ana Kasparian (I-CA)
36.76%
23.61%
20.83%
14.29%
2.05%
498 EV
19 EV

15 EV
6 EV

A competitive multi-party race... but not really. Also, I gave Dreher Montana.
« Last Edit: October 08, 2012, 11:04:47 pm by ስምፋን፫፬ »Logged


What will happen if a hen impregnates an asteroid? Certainly, this will result in a snow storm over the Canary Islands, which will guarantee an FDP landslide in the next Nigerian election. Do you get me?
Jante's Law Revivalist
Antonio V
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2012, 11:53:32 pm »
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For God's sake, use the correct colors!
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"The major political task that we face in the next five months is to make certain that Donald [Drumpf] is defeated and defeated badly."

Bernie Sanders, 06/14/2016
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