Israeli General Election 2013
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Author Topic: Israeli General Election 2013  (Read 70943 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #125 on: December 06, 2012, 09:23:55 AM »

Bizarre, but the bizarre is always expected so, you know.
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danny
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« Reply #126 on: December 06, 2012, 01:13:35 PM »

A recent poll by channel 10 (taken before the Peretz defection):

Likud Beitenu: 37
Labour: 20
JH-NU: 11
Shas: 10
The Movement: 9
Yesh Atid: 7
UTJ: 6
RAAM-TAAL: 5
Meretz: 4
Am Shalem: 3
Balad: 3
Hadash: 3
Kadima: 2
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danny
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« Reply #127 on: December 06, 2012, 02:13:14 PM »

and two more polls.

Knesset channel:

Likud Beitenu: 36
Labour: 19
JH-NU: 12
Shas: 10
Yesh Atid: 8
The Movement: 6
UTJ: 5
Meretz: 5
Am Shalem: 3
Otzma Leyisrael: 3
Kadima: 2
"Arab parties": 11

Reshet Bet:

Likud Beitenu: 36
Labour: 20
JH-NU: 11
Shas: 10
Yesh Atid: 9
The Movement: 9
UTJ: 6
Meretz: 3
Otzma Leyisrael: 3
Am Shalem: 2
"Arab parties": 11
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #128 on: December 06, 2012, 02:15:21 PM »

Do you think the Peretz defection is likely to move the polls much in any direction?
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danny
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« Reply #129 on: December 06, 2012, 02:20:44 PM »

I doubt it will have any significant effect.
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Hnv1
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« Reply #130 on: December 06, 2012, 03:13:36 PM »

Do you think the Peretz defection is likely to move the polls much in any direction?
slightly, he may gain some votes for Livni from the right side of the map but Labour in general will be untouched. Yesh Atid's decadence is a beauty to behold, I sure hope that on January 23 he will be with 5 or less MKs in and a disgraceful end to his political career.
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danny
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« Reply #131 on: December 06, 2012, 05:10:40 PM »

The deadline to submit the lists is over now, so the defections and speculations about new parties will be over now.

A total of 34 parties have submitted their lists and will run in the elections. Up from 33 in the previous elections.
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danny
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« Reply #132 on: December 06, 2012, 05:33:26 PM »

In case you were wondering who to vote for.

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Kitteh
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« Reply #133 on: December 06, 2012, 06:15:44 PM »

What is the Green Leaf-Israeli Freedom movement?
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danny
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« Reply #134 on: December 06, 2012, 06:29:31 PM »

What is the Green Leaf-Israeli Freedom movement?

Marijuana legalization.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #135 on: December 06, 2012, 07:02:56 PM »

In case you were wondering who to vote for.



This seems pretty accurate. By following the lines, I got Meretz and Labour as my top two choices.


"Are you Ehud Barak?" LOL Grin
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Velasco
andi
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« Reply #136 on: December 06, 2012, 07:14:56 PM »

Between France and the USSR I choose the first. I'm not sure about what's the most dangerous thing: Bibi or the Global Warming. I must be between Meretz, the Greenies and the Laborites, if I have to trust the guide. However, I'm not a fan of former laborites like Shimon Peres, I prefer Yitzhak Rabin. Of whom the Israeli Labor is more nearby in these days?
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Kitteh
drj101
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« Reply #137 on: December 06, 2012, 09:12:10 PM »

I got Meretz, followed by Labor, followed by Tzipi Livni Party. Seems about accurate.
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Vosem
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« Reply #138 on: December 06, 2012, 10:12:54 PM »

I can't seem to find HaTnuah's list anywhere...
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danny
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« Reply #139 on: December 07, 2012, 04:57:58 AM »
« Edited: December 07, 2012, 05:14:31 AM by danny »

I can't seem to find HaTnuah's list anywhere...

1) Tzipi Livni
2) Amram Mitzna
3) Amir Peretz
4) Elazar Shtern
5) Meir Sheetrit
6) David Tzur
7) Yoel Hasson
8 ) Shlomo Molla
9) Meirav Cohen
10) Orit Zuaretz
11) Aharon Valensi
12) Majalli Wahabi
13) Alon Tal
14) Robert Tiviaev
15) Avner Ben Zaken
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Hnv1
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« Reply #140 on: December 07, 2012, 04:41:06 PM »

Hey France is nice but we prefer Israel to be more like Scandinavia! nice chart, rubbish for real diagnosis but amusing
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Kitteh
drj101
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« Reply #141 on: December 07, 2012, 05:38:21 PM »

Hey France is nice but we prefer Israel to be more like Scandinavia! nice chart, rubbish for real diagnosis but amusing

I was surprised they didn't say Sweden. That seems to be the go-to example for what every lefty party in the world wants to imitate.
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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #142 on: December 07, 2012, 05:41:22 PM »

On the Orthodox Jewish thing, what drift do I have to catch?
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danny
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« Reply #143 on: December 07, 2012, 05:41:49 PM »

Poll from channel 1:

Likud Beitenu: 36
Labour: 19
JH-NU: 12
The Movement: 12
Shas: 11
Yesh Atid: 7
UTJ: 6
Meretz: 4
RAAM-TAAL: 4
Hadash: 4
Balad: 3
Otzma Leisrael: 2

So it looks like the defection of peretz has helped Livni somewhat.
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danny
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« Reply #144 on: December 07, 2012, 05:47:43 PM »

On the Orthodox Jewish thing, what drift do I have to catch?

I think they mean Ashkenazi (but don't take it too seriously).
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danny
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« Reply #145 on: December 10, 2012, 09:36:03 AM »

Poll amongst "Russians" only:

Likud Beitenu: 68%
The Movement: 9%
Labour, Kadima, Yesh Atid, Jewish Home: 4%
Shas: 3%
Meretz: 2%
UTJ: 1%
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #146 on: December 10, 2012, 09:44:03 AM »

Hey France is nice but we prefer Israel to be more like Scandinavia! nice chart, rubbish for real diagnosis but amusing
Yeah, it's pretty well done.
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danny
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« Reply #147 on: December 10, 2012, 09:50:29 AM »
« Edited: December 10, 2012, 01:23:20 PM by danny »

Poll from Haaretz:

Likud Beitenu: 39
Labour: 17
Shas: 12
JH-NU: 11
The Movement: 9
Yesh Atid: 6
UTJ: 6
RAAM-TAAL: 5
Hadash: 4
Balad: 3
Meretz: 3
Am Shalem: 3
Kadima: 2

who do you think is more suitable to be PM?

Bibi: 64%
Livni: 24%
Don't know: 12%
---------------------
Bibi: 64%
Shelly: 17%
Don't know: 19%

Who do you think will be the next PM:

Bibi: 81%
Livni: 6%
Shelly: 4%
Don't know: 9%
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Vosem
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« Reply #148 on: December 11, 2012, 07:31:16 PM »

It's interesting that Livni is viewed as a likelier winner than Yachimovich...I really think with a good campaign Hatnuah could place second, ahead of Labour.
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Hnv1
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« Reply #149 on: December 12, 2012, 04:40:06 AM »

It's interesting that Livni is viewed as a likelier winner than Yachimovich...I really think with a good campaign Hatnuah could place second, ahead of Labour.
Currently, Labour are getting a lot of stick from both labour memebers and general Left voters for Shelly's refusal to discuss the Palestinian issue (Labour are declining in polls).
Sadly, Livni is ripping 2 mandates of 'Security-Leftists' from Meretz (like in 2009), that's a shame as initial polls predicted Meretz with around 5-6 mandates 
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