Israeli General Election 2013

[danny]

Live election results in Hebrew, I'll update an English link if I find one.

[danny]

It is 9:46PM in Tel Aviv now.  Will they finish the count tonight or will this drag out to tomorrow?

Yes, they will finish counting almost all the votes (except for soldiers votes) tonight, although it's an hour later than you think.

[jaichind]

It is 9:46PM in Tel Aviv now.  Will they finish the count tonight or will this drag out to tomorrow?

Yes, they will finish counting almost all the votes (except for soldiers votes) tonight, although it's an hour later than you think.

Oops.  You are right.  Typo.

[jaichind]

Sorry to jump on this old post, but I just learned from my friends in my company's Tel Aviv office that today is actually a holiday for the elections.  So there is no issue of people voting after work.  Right ?

55.5% voted until 18:00, 5.2% more than 2009.

Looking at the turnout chart on the previous page, it really depends how many people vote after work.

Turnout could be anywhere between 69% and 79%.

[danny]

Sorry to jump on this old post, but I just learned from my friends in my company's Tel Aviv office that today is actually a holiday for the elections.  So there is no issue of people voting after work.  Right ?

55.5% voted until 18:00, 5.2% more than 2009.

Looking at the turnout chart on the previous page, it really depends how many people vote after work.

Turnout could be anywhere between 69% and 79%.

Yes, I'm a student right now, and college was canceled today as well.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Assuming accurate exit polls (heh) and using an average of them, seat changes on 2009:

Likud-Beiteinu -11
Yesh Atid n/a
Labor +4
JH-NU +5
Shas +1
Meretz +4
Hatnuah n/a
UTJ +1
Hadash =
UAL-Ta'al - 1
Balad - 1
Kadima -28

[Peter the Lefty]

Yesh Atid ahead of Labor?  Wow.  I would think that Yachimovich's leadership would be on the line right now.  Then again, those buffoons didn't get rid of Barak after 2009.  Nice to hear that Meretz did so well, though.  An appropriate smackdown for Labor though, for refusing to talk about peace.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Yes, gaining seats: how completely disastrous.

[Peter the Lefty]

Yes, gaining seats: how completely disastrous.

Only four, and coming in 3rd when they were destined to gain official opposition status again as their first great step in their long march back to power as they once knew it?

[Benj]

Presuming that these exit polls are accurate (which is presuming a lot) most of the international coverage of the election is going to look pretty fycking hilarious.

The international media will be just fine. Never let reality affect the narrative.

True, true. Though I meant the coverage before the election.

To be fair to the media, if the exit polls are correct, the pre-election polling was poor, and the media's narrative was mostly based on the polls.

[minionofmidas]

Yes, gaining seats: how completely disastrous.

Only four, and coming in 3rd when they were destined to gain official opposition status again as their first great step in their long march back to power as they once knew it?

It's not happening. No matter what.

[danny]

Presuming that these exit polls are accurate (which is presuming a lot) most of the international coverage of the election is going to look pretty fycking hilarious.

The international media will be just fine. Never let reality affect the narrative.

True, true. Though I meant the coverage before the election.

To be fair to the media, if the exit polls are correct, the pre-election polling was poor, and the media's narrative was mostly based on the polls.

The polls were not necessarily wrong, merely out of date. The last polls was last week and things have changed since then.

[jaichind]

This link has results which are tiny compared to the number of votes cast.  Is this slow on purpose?

Live election results in Hebrew, I'll update an English link if I find one.

[minionofmidas]

I presume these are results from those precincts already finished counting.

[danny]

This link has results which are tiny compared to the number of votes cast.  Is this slow on purpose?

Live election results in Hebrew, I'll update an English link if I find one.

Give it time, they should finish overnight.

[danny]

Live results in English.

[Meeker]

On this page: http://www.votes-19.gov.il/nationalresults

What does the percentage in the center of the top bar mean? It seems to fluctuate up and down with every report.

[danny]

On this page: http://www.votes-19.gov.il/nationalresults

What does the percentage in the center of the top bar mean? It seems to fluctuate up and down with every report.

I think it's the turnout at the polling places that were counted.

[Dereich]

What's your reaction to the results Danny?

[danny]

What's your reaction to the results Danny?

If the coalition includes Likud, Lapid and JH, and without the Haredi parties, I will be happy.

[Famous Mortimer]

A 62 seat coalition is not a realistic possibility. Too many worries about defections (from crazy right-wings in JH and left-wings in Yesh).

Even if it was a stable, guaranteed 62 though, Netanyahu wouldn't go for it. He has a boner for broad coalitions.

[danny]

A 62 seat coalition is not a realistic possibility. Too many worries about defections (from crazy right-wings in JH and left-wings in Yesh).

Even if it was a stable, guaranteed 62 though, Netanyahu wouldn't go for it. He has a boner for broad coalitions.

I didn't say that those would be the only parties.

[Kitteh]

A 62 seat coalition is not a realistic possibility. Too many worries about defections (from crazy right-wings in JH and left-wings in Yesh).

Even if it was a stable, guaranteed 62 though, Netanyahu wouldn't go for it. He has a boner for broad coalitions.

I didn't say that those would be the only parties.

Hatnuah or UTJ/Shas in addition?

[danny]

A 62 seat coalition is not a realistic possibility. Too many worries about defections (from crazy right-wings in JH and left-wings in Yesh).

Even if it was a stable, guaranteed 62 though, Netanyahu wouldn't go for it. He has a boner for broad coalitions.

I didn't say that those would be the only parties.

Hatnuah or UTJ/Shas in addition?

I said without the Shas/UTJ, so Hatnuah and/or Labour.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

To be fair to the media, if the exit polls are correct, the pre-election polling was poor, and the media's narrative was mostly based on the polls.

Kind of, but it was still based on a fairly obvious misreading of them...