CT, Ras: Obama leads by 6

[krazen1211]

Link


Obama 51
Romney 45



Not too shabby.

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Yeah, no Scotty

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Yeah, no Scotty

Rasmussen is absurd.  You saw almost no polls from the man in the last month besides directly after the GOP and directly after the first debate... all of which showing a wildly GOP leaning perspective on the race.  I'm glad he's furthering my position that polls should not even be considered when trying to decipher reality.

And Krazen, where have you been for a month?  You're pathetic.  If you want to be biggest hack on the board, stick around and take your licks.  Don't disappear then reappear when there something you want to hear in the news.

[krazen1211]

Yeah, no Scotty

Rasmussen is absurd.  You saw almost no polls from the man in the last month besides directly after the GOP and directly after the first debate... all of which showing a wildly GOP leaning perspective on the race.  I'm glad he's furthering my position that polls should not even be considered when trying to decipher reality.

And Krazen, where have you been for a month?  You're pathetic.  If you want to be biggest hack on the board, stick around and take your licks.  Don't disappear then reappear when there something you want to hear in the news.

Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa. This guy doesn't consider the polls....except:

Traditionally I track the race through the combined signs the state polls are pointing towards, CBS/NYT national polls and ABC/washington post nat'l polls. 

I dont care what your political philosophy is, the electorate in a Presidential election is not going to be GOP +4, so no, I'm not paying attention to the Rasmussen tracker.

WTF?  I doubt it, but at this point I would say that Missouri going to be closer than we thought it would be. 

Why?

I really have no clue.  This state been shifting GOP for a long time and the recent close polls combined with the overall state of the race are completely contradictory. 

Seems like the afterglow that followed the Ryan pick has faded.   

We Ask America: 12
PPP: 7
Marist: 5
Quinnipiac: 6
Rasmussen: 3
Marquette Law: 14

...those would be the Obama leads in the last 6 polls.  Rasmussen is the only pollster that seems to be giving Romney a chance anywhere.  He's somewhat ridiculously relying on models that put GOP turnout higher then Dem.. which I don't think has happened since the 1920s... but Romney's got to hold on to something right now. 

FYI there are about 50 or so such instances of this  AWallTEP81 guy considering the polls.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Please children, behave.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Yeah, no Scotty

Rasmussen is absurd.  You saw almost no polls from the man in the last month besides directly after the GOP and directly after the first debate... all of which showing a wildly GOP leaning perspective on the race.  I'm glad he's furthering my position that polls should not even be considered when trying to decipher reality.

And Krazen, where have you been for a month?  You're pathetic.  If you want to be biggest hack on the board, stick around and take your licks.  Don't disappear then reappear when there something you want to hear in the news.

Waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa.

Comprehensive and informative stuff from you, as always.  Are you 12?  

[krazen1211]

Comprehensive and informative stuff from you, as always.  Are you 12?  

Unfortunately there's a posting history that's easily searchable here that shows you to be a backtracking liar.

[krazen1211]

And let's see some polls before we push the PANIC button? 

I'm glad he's furthering my position that polls should not even be considered when trying to decipher reality.

Rofl.

[GMantis]

This is a 2 point gain for Romney in comparison with the last poll, which was in August. So actually not such a bad result for Obama.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Comprehensive and informative stuff from you, as always.  Are you 12?  

Unfortunately there's a posting history that's easily searchable here that shows you to be a backtracking liar.

Doesn't answer my question.  Are you not a 12 year old?  And are you trying to say your posts are informative?, because you do little more than gloat.  

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

And let's see some polls before we push the PANIC button? 

I'm glad he's furthering my position that polls should not even be considered when trying to decipher reality.

Rofl.

Polls = Rasmussen?  I've mentioned I don't listen to him before. 

[krazen1211]

And let's see some polls before we push the PANIC button? 

I'm glad he's furthering my position that polls should not even be considered when trying to decipher reality.

Rofl.

Polls = Rasmussen?  I've mentioned I don't listen to him before. 

Apparently you don't listen to a lot of pollsters. That's your problem.

[krazen1211]

Comprehensive and informative stuff from you, as always.  Are you 12?  

Unfortunately there's a posting history that's easily searchable here that shows you to be a backtracking liar.

Doesn't answer my question.  Are you not a 12 year old?  And are you trying to say your posts are informative?, because you do little more than gloat.  

No, I'm not 12. I posted polls. You just made yourself look like a fool, which I suppose is informative. That's your problem too.

If you want to ignore these polls, be my guest.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

And let's see some polls before we push the PANIC button? 

I'm glad he's furthering my position that polls should not even be considered when trying to decipher reality.

Rofl.

Polls = Rasmussen?  I've mentioned I don't listen to him before. 

Apparently you don't listen to a lot of pollsters. That's your problem.

Rasmussen and Gravis?  No.  I think if you did a less selective search of my posts I reject overly pro-Dem polls as well, including Rutgers-Eagleton doing New Jersey and several PPP polls recently.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Comprehensive and informative stuff from you, as always.  Are you 12?  

Unfortunately there's a posting history that's easily searchable here that shows you to be a backtracking liar.

Doesn't answer my question.  Are you not a 12 year old?  And are you trying to say your posts are informative?, because you do little more than gloat.  

No, I'm not 12. I posted polls. You just made yourself look like a fool, which I suppose is informative. That's your problem too.

If you want to ignore these polls, be my guest.

I don't think I'm the only person on here who assumes you to be a teenager. 

[krazen1211]

I don't think I'm the only person on here who assumes you to be a teenager. 

I don't think I'm the only person laughing at you, so that makes us even.

[NVGonzalez]

Okay... Call me a hack here but does it seem strange that we are seeing 90% of the polls from GOP friendly firms?

[Niemeyerite]

Hey, Krazen, you're posting here again. Welcome back

[tmthforu94]

While I don't think it's this close, I think Romney will perform better than McCain or Bush did here - will be our best showing in over 20 years.

[J. J.]

While I don't think it's this close, I think Romney will perform better than McCain or Bush did here - will be our best showing in over 20 years.

Agreed.  It will one of the eastern states to watch.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

A substantial swing in CT does look likely, but we ought not forget that Republicans were overestimated in the polls in 2010 there. Leading to some bad predictions on my part. I'm not bitter.

[Likely Voter]

I buy Romney doing well in CT. Let's face it, a lot of the 1% and those who aspire to be in the 1% live in CT.  If he had a huge national PV win CT could be one of those surprise pickups

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Romney is a brilliant cultural fit for CT, so I'm not the least bit surprised it's close... I doubt this close, but I'd say CT will be the closest non-NH state in the NE.

[pbrower2a]

Okay... Call me a hack here but does it seem strange that we are seeing 90% of the polls from GOP friendly firms?

In before someone calls you hack

No, actually I agree with you.  I would not be surprised if at least some of these firms either took these polls a while ago and were just sitting on them until the Romney campaign did something right.  At the very least, some of them are almost certainly juking the numbers.  I'm not saying Romney didn't get a bounce, mind you.

More likely the Republican Party is flooding right-leaning pollsters with money.   

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Mittens will probably do alright here. Obama won't top his 60% he got here by any means in 2008, much like the Democrats in New Jersey from 2000 to 2004.