YouGov national poll - Obama +3
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Author Topic: YouGov national poll - Obama +3  (Read 875 times)
afleitch
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« on: October 10, 2012, 09:20:48 AM »
« edited: October 10, 2012, 09:46:30 AM by afleitch »
Still awaiting a confirmation link so pinch of salt and all that. Things still 'twittery'

http://today.yougov.com/news/2012/10/10/presidential-race-tightens-after-debate/

The poll was taken from 6-8 October (Saturday-Monday) Obama leads Romney by 3 with Likely Voters and 6 with Registered Voters
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2012, 09:23:58 AM »
Romneys bounce of 4 pts is over.
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Biden 2024
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2012, 09:31:30 AM »
Quote from: OC on October 10, 2012, 09:23:58 AM
Romneys bounce of 4 pts is over.

This is a hack poll.
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J. J.
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2012, 09:33:01 AM »
YouGov sucks, no matter what. 
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afleitch
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2012, 09:53:55 AM »
For those who are into the Party ID thing, worth pointing out that in this sample the Party ID was R+2. Obama leads women by 12 and Romney leads men by 10.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2012, 10:35:44 AM »
Quote from: afleitch on October 10, 2012, 09:53:55 AM
For those who are into the Party ID thing, worth pointing out that in this sample the Party ID was R+2.

So this poll is even better for Obama than it appears.

The election won't be R +2. Even 2010 wasn't R +2.
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CellarDoor
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« Reply #6 on: October 10, 2012, 10:40:19 AM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on October 10, 2012, 10:35:44 AM
Quote from: afleitch on October 10, 2012, 09:53:55 AM
For those who are into the Party ID thing, worth pointing out that in this sample the Party ID was R+2.

So this poll is even better for Obama than it appears.

The election won't be R +2. Even 2010 wasn't R +2.

I wouldn't worry about Party ID or this poll in particular.

I put about as much faith in this poll as I did with the ARG/Gravis/Uni polls released yesterday. 
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2012, 10:55:30 AM »
...except when they have Obama ahead!

Tongue
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afleitch
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« Reply #8 on: October 10, 2012, 11:19:41 AM »

YouGov did okay in 2008; they had Obama +6 when the result was Obama +6.6. It was one of the top three performers
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2012, 11:56:06 AM »
Very good news.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2012, 12:13:23 PM »
Looks like today will be a better polling day for Obama than yesterday.

Quote from: afleitch on October 10, 2012, 11:19:41 AM

YouGov did okay in 2008; they had Obama +6 when the result was Obama +6.6. It was one of the top three performers

Obama won the PV by 7.2% in 2008.
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J. J.
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« Reply #11 on: October 10, 2012, 07:03:46 PM »

I just wish we could agree on the crappy polls.  Smiley
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