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| | | |-+  PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.
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Author Topic: PA: Susquehanna (R): Casey clings to 2 point lead.  (Read 330 times)
Keystone Phil
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« on: October 10, 2012, 10:06:31 am »
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Casey (D) - 46%
Smith (R) - 44%

http://www.politicspa.com/susquehanna-poll-casey-46-smith-44/42338/

Even for a Republican poll, this is big.
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The entire country is pretty much Republican.
Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2012, 10:08:59 am »
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This shows him Smith up ten in Allegheny. That just can't be.
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The entire country is pretty much Republican.
Torie
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2012, 10:33:24 am »
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This shows him Smith up ten in Allegheny. That just can't be.

It's too bad they don't reveal a partisan breakdown in the poll. Yes, I know, this partisan breakdown stuff in polls has become its own political football, but it still is something that we all want to know. Putting that aside, it may be the margin of error for Allegheny is huge because of a very small subsample.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2012, 10:56:32 am »
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This is looking better for Republicans than Virginia. Who knew...
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Upset: Hogan wins in Maryland
Bold Prediction: Deal wins outright, avoiding a runoff
Niemeyerite
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2012, 12:02:15 pm »
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So, Smith >>>> Santorum.
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My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Miles
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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2012, 12:08:06 pm »
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I know this is a R poll, but it almost seems like Casey is trying to see how close he can make this.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #6 on: October 10, 2012, 12:19:30 pm »
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Casey is basically not campaigning. Philadelphia TV has as many Bob Menendez ads as Casey ads, and Bob Menendez doesn't even really need South Jersey.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2012, 12:37:36 pm »
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So, Smith >>>> Santorum.

It isn't 2006 anymore and Casey has run a lackluster campaign/has been ineffective. Santorum would probably be running as well as Smith (except Smith isn't some well known polarizing figure even though Casey's campaign has tried to make him into that type).

Casey is basically not campaigning. Philadelphia TV has as many Bob Menendez ads as Casey ads, and Bob Menendez doesn't even really need South Jersey.

Even more hilariously, the NJ Republican nominee somehow has a good amount of money and has run several different ads. I've seen him more than anyone else.
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The entire country is pretty much Republican.
Antonio V
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« Reply #8 on: October 10, 2012, 06:26:39 pm »
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...the hell??
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2012, 06:39:24 pm »
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Smith almost certainly needs Romney to win the state if he is going to win. 
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Zioneer
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« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2012, 11:35:02 pm »
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Why is Casey so terrible at this?
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #11 on: October 11, 2012, 06:23:50 am »

New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Susquehanna Polling & Research on 2012-10-10

Summary: D: 46%, R: 44%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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