Vosem's House Now-cast

[Vosem]

Likely Republican
Arkansas 4 (Ross)
California 21 (open)
Indiana 2 (Donnelly)
Minnesota 2 (Kline)
New Jersey 3 (Runyan)
North Carolina 11 (Shuler)
North Carolina 13 (Miller)
North Dakota at-Large (Berg)
Ohio 7 (Gibbs)
Virginia 2 (Rigell)

Leans Republican
Florida 10 (Webster)
Indiana 8 (Bucshon)
Minnesota 6 (Bachmann)
Montana at-Large (Rehberg)
Nevada 3 (Heck)
New York 11 (Grimm)
New York 19 (Gibson)
North Carolina 8 (Kissell)
Oklahoma 2 (Boren)
Pennsylvania 8 (Fitzpatrick)
Utah 4 (Matheson)
Wisconsin 7 (Duffy)
Wisconsin 8 (Ribble)

Tilt Republican
California 7 (Lungren)
California 10 (Denham)
California 36 (Bono Mack)
Colorado 3 (Tipton)
Colorado 6 (Coffman)
Connecticut 5 (Murphy)
Florida 2 (Southerland)
Florida 18 (West)
Georgia 12 (Barrow)
Illinois 12 (Costello)
Illinois 13 (Johnson)
Iowa 3 (Boswell/Latham)
Iowa 4 (King)
Massachusetts 6 (Tierney)
Michigan 3 (Amash)
Michigan 7 (McCotter)
Nevada 4 (open)
New Hampshire 1 (Guinta)
New York 18 (Hayworth)
Ohio 6 (Johnson)
Pennsylvania 12 (Critz)
Texas 14 (Paul)
Texas 23 (Canseco)

Tilt Democratic
Arizona 1 (open)
California 9 (McNerney)
California 26 (Gallegly)
California 41 (open)
California 52 (Bilbray)
Florida 22 (open)
Florida 26 (Rivera)
Illinois 10 (Dold)
Illinois 11 (Biggert)
Illinois 17 (Schilling)
Michigan 1 (Benishek)
Minnesota 8 (Cravaack)
New Hampshire 2 (Bass)
New York 27 (Hochul)
Ohio 16 (Renacci/Sutton)
Washington 1 (Inslee)

Leans Democratic
Arizona 2 (Barber)
Arizona 9 (open)
California 24 (Capps)
Iowa 2 (Loebsack)
Kentucky 6 (Chandler)
Maryland 6 (Bartlett)
New York 21 (Owens)
New York 24 (Buerkle)
North Carolina 7 (McIntyre)
Rhode Island 1 (Cicilline)

Likely Democratic
California 3 (Garamendi)
California 16 (Costa)
California 47 (open)
Florida 9 (open)
Illinois 8 (Walsh)
Iowa 1 (Braley)
Maine 2 (Michaud)
New York 1 (Bishop)
New York 25 (Slaughter)
Washington 6 (Dicks)

If this were to occur, the final count would be 242-193 -- in other words, there would be literally no change to the partisan balance of the House whatsoever. Comments, compliments, and constructive criticism are all welcomed.

[Psychic Octopus]

What do you think of the Swalwell-Stark race? Care to offer a prediction?

[Vosem]

What do you think of the Swalwell-Stark race? Care to offer a prediction?

Safe Democratic

In all seriousness, this race has received very little analysis from pundits outside of the district and I can't find any polling whatsoever, so I think I'll err on the side of the incumbent and say Stark wins reelection, but there's a good deal of timidity in that prediction.