Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2014, 02:40:54 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Atlas Hardware Upgrade complete October 13, 2013.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Sheriff Buford TX Justice)
| | |-+  Swing States
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Author Topic: Swing States  (Read 1293 times)
Sol
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2051


View Profile
« on: October 11, 2012, 11:48:43 am »
Ignore

So, what states do you think will be up in the air in 2016?

Here's my prediction with an Obama win:



And a Romney win:

Clearly, there'll need to be refinement for both of these.
Logged

I would dress in a tutu if Santorum won Colorado.

You lost your virginity at a waste management facility?
Cryptic
Shadowlord88
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 686


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -6.09

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2012, 12:01:55 pm »
Ignore



My guess right now, obviously subject to change.
« Last Edit: October 11, 2012, 12:05:53 pm by Shadowlord88 »Logged
5280
MagneticFree
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2660
United States


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2012, 02:02:23 pm »
Ignore

Logged

Paul/Cruz 2016!
L0V3Batman
Clinton1996
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3219
United States


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2012, 02:07:59 pm »
Ignore


This.
Logged

後援会
koenkai
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1294


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -2.52

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2012, 02:15:51 pm »
Ignore

Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.



With of course, Colorado, Michigan, and Minnesota as lean-blue, Arizona, Iowa, Ohio as lean-red, and Virginia and Florida being periphery targets for each party.
Logged

The opinions and views expressed above are mine alone and do not represent the opinions or views of any other individual, organization, or government.
Comrade Funk
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 622
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.16, S: -5.57

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2012, 02:42:49 pm »
Ignore

Logged

We need a public option

Quote from: President Harry S. Truman
“We should resolve now that the health of this nation is a national concern; that financial barriers in the way of attaining health shall be removed
Sol
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2051


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: October 11, 2012, 03:07:04 pm »
Ignore

Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.
What about Atlanta?
Logged

I would dress in a tutu if Santorum won Colorado.

You lost your virginity at a waste management facility?
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5083
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: October 11, 2012, 04:16:49 pm »
Ignore

Depends on the nominees.
Logged
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5083
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: October 11, 2012, 04:25:01 pm »
Ignore

Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.
What about Atlanta?
It's more like a bigger version of Richmond/Charlotte.
Logged
Cryptic
Shadowlord88
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 686


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -6.09

View Profile
« Reply #9 on: October 11, 2012, 04:25:49 pm »
Ignore

Depends on the nominees.

True.  Some states might be turned off by certain nominees and ideologues.  
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7471
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 1.91

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #10 on: October 11, 2012, 05:05:31 pm »
Ignore



The same as they are now.  I would also include leaners: Arizona, Maine, Minnesota, Oregon, and Washington.

Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.



With of course, Colorado, Michigan, and Minnesota as lean-blue, Arizona, Iowa, Ohio as lean-red, and Virginia and Florida being periphery targets for each party.
Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.



With of course, Colorado, Michigan, and Minnesota as lean-blue, Arizona, Iowa, Ohio as lean-red, and Virginia and Florida being periphery targets for each party.
Swing states by definition do not "lean."  And even if they did, Iowa and Ohio do not lean red.
Logged

Quote
There is nothing wrong with America that the faith, love of freedom, intelligence, and energy of her citizens cannot cure.
-Dwight D. Eisenhower

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wsjFezL5KdY
後援会
koenkai
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1294


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -2.52

View Profile
« Reply #11 on: October 11, 2012, 06:23:20 pm »
Ignore

Swing states by definition do not "lean."  And even if they did, Iowa and Ohio do not lean red.

I disagree. For example, Nevada and Florida are both considered swing states, but the former is generally understood to tilt Democrat and the latter Republican.

Then again, perhaps tilt is a better idea?

Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.
What about Atlanta?
It's more like a bigger version of Richmond/Charlotte.

Basically. The Atlanta suburbs are very very Republican in a way that NoVa isn't.
Logged

The opinions and views expressed above are mine alone and do not represent the opinions or views of any other individual, organization, or government.
Oldiesfreak1854
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7471
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 1.91

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #12 on: October 11, 2012, 07:09:32 pm »
Ignore

Swing states by definition do not "lean."  And even if they did, Iowa and Ohio do not lean red.

I disagree. For example, Nevada and Florida are both considered swing states, but the former is generally understood to tilt Democrat and the latter Republican.

Then again, perhaps tilt is a better idea?

Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.
What about Atlanta?
It's more like a bigger version of Richmond/Charlotte.

Basically. The Atlanta suburbs are very very Republican in a way that NoVa isn't.
How does Nevada tilt Democrat?  They've elected all Republican governors since 1998.
« Last Edit: October 12, 2012, 08:24:34 am by Oldiesfreak1854 »Logged

Quote
There is nothing wrong with America that the faith, love of freedom, intelligence, and energy of her citizens cannot cure.
-Dwight D. Eisenhower

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wsjFezL5KdY
Senator Meiji (D-NC)
sjoycefla
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8329
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.03, S: -8.96

View Profile
« Reply #13 on: October 11, 2012, 07:23:46 pm »
Ignore

The same as they are now.  I would also include leaners: Arizona, Maine, Minnesota, Oregon, and Washington.

Hate to burst your bubble, but Washington isn't a swing state... And neither is Maine (discounting ME-02).
Logged

morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5083
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: October 11, 2012, 09:36:52 pm »
Ignore

Swing states by definition do not "lean."  And even if they did, Iowa and Ohio do not lean red.

I disagree. For example, Nevada and Florida are both considered swing states, but the former is generally understood to tilt Democrat and the latter Republican.

Then again, perhaps tilt is a better idea?

Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.
What about Atlanta?
It's more like a bigger version of Richmond/Charlotte.

Basically. The Atlanta suburbs are very very Republican in a way that NoVa isn't.
How does Nevada tilt Democrat?  They haven't elected all Republican governors since 1998.
We're talking Presidential level. It voted Obama by 13 in 2008.

It's true at a lower level however that it is a key swing state, if not leaning R.
Logged
Senator-elect Griffin
Adam Griffin
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4553
Greece


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: October 12, 2012, 01:09:36 am »
Ignore

Logged



When Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio walk into a Wall-Mart, loss prevention sees a white person.
Oldiesfreak1854
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7471
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: 1.91

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #16 on: October 12, 2012, 08:25:45 am »
Ignore

The same as they are now.  I would also include leaners: Arizona, Maine, Minnesota, Oregon, and Washington.

Hate to burst your bubble, but Washington isn't a swing state... And neither is Maine (discounting ME-02).
I didn't say they were.  I said they were leaners that have been swing states in the past.  I like to call them "semi-swing states."
Logged

Quote
There is nothing wrong with America that the faith, love of freedom, intelligence, and energy of her citizens cannot cure.
-Dwight D. Eisenhower

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wsjFezL5KdY
Solopop
solopop
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 845
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: October 12, 2012, 09:15:36 am »
Ignore

I think these states depending on the candidates and the result of this election could swing either way.

Logged

LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4469
Thailand


View Profile
« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2012, 03:33:48 am »
Ignore


It's going to be a tough map for pubbies.
Logged
opebo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 47646


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: October 13, 2012, 11:49:25 am »
Ignore


It's going to be a tough map for pubbies.

Texas?  I think the OP said 2016, not 2020 or 2024.

For 2016 they're actually the same as they are now:



However Nevada and Virginia will lean a little more Dem in 2016 than in 2012, and maybe Wisconsin and Iowa a little less.
Logged

The essence of democracy at its purest is a lynch mob

LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4469
Thailand


View Profile
« Reply #20 on: October 13, 2012, 08:11:57 pm »
Ignore


It's going to be a tough map for pubbies.

Texas?  I think the OP said 2016, not 2020 or 2024.

For 2016 they're actually the same as they are now:



However Nevada and Virginia will lean a little more Dem in 2016 than in 2012, and maybe Wisconsin and Iowa a little less.
The demographics and intensifying shift in the southwest and intensifying racism among white working class will dictate next election. Here's a corrected map btw:
Logged
BaldEagle1991
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1077
United States


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: October 13, 2012, 09:14:02 pm »
Ignore

Shouldn't Mississippi be more Republican?
Logged

"Weezy F Baby and the F is for Phenomenal" - Lil' Wayne

"Look at this photograph/Every time I do it makes me laugh/How did our eyes get so red?/And what the hell is on Joey's head?" - Nickelback
Fourth of July Bushie
BushOklahoma
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20249
Kenya


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: October 13, 2012, 11:25:30 pm »
Ignore

Same states as we have now.
Logged

You are that rare species: a Bible-thumpin' Liberal.
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5083
Australia


View Profile
« Reply #23 on: October 14, 2012, 12:24:13 am »
Ignore

Shouldn't Mississippi be more Republican?
Ignore the margins. It's the same as 08.
Logged
5280
MagneticFree
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2660
United States


View Profile
« Reply #24 on: October 14, 2012, 12:37:13 am »
Ignore

I love how the Democrats love to bring the word 'racist' in every topic when it comes to immigration policies. You know being an illegal is breaking the law right?
Logged

Paul/Cruz 2016!
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines