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June 19, 2013, 08:01:59 am
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News: Cast your ballot in the 2012 Mock Election!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  2016 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Mr. Morden, Bacon King, Big DaddyTX)
| | |-+  Swing States
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Author Topic: Swing States  (Read 1123 times)
ModerateCoward
seatown
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« Reply #25 on: October 14, 2012, 10:56:31 pm »
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I love how the Democrats love to bring the word 'racist' in every topic when it comes to immigration policies. You know being an illegal is breaking the law right?
There are lots of laws that should be broken, especially drug and immigration laws. Opebo would probably add another set of laws to that list.
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Nagas
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E: -2.45, S: -6.61

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« Reply #26 on: October 14, 2012, 11:58:20 pm »
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Too many D-friendly maps in the Midwest.

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Ѕenator Αverroës
Averroës Nix
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« Reply #27 on: October 15, 2012, 11:58:47 am »
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Nix's 2016 Statewide Presidential Race Ratings: Generic D vs. Generic R


Safe D: CA+NY+IL+WA+MD+MA+HI+RI+DE+VT+DC = 154 EVs

Likely D: PA+NJ+OR+CT+NM+ME = 57 EVs

Lean D: MI+MN+NV = 32 EVs

Toss-ups: OH+VA+WI+CO+IA+NH = 60 EVs

Lean R = FL+AZ+NC = 55 EVs

Likely R = TX+GA+IN+MO+MT = 78 EVs

Safe R = TN+SC+AL+KY+LA+OK+UT+KS+AR+MS+WV+NE+ID+WY+ND+SD+AK = 102 EVs

All D: 243
All R: 235
Toss-ups: 60

Cautionary note: My degree of certainty is low. I suspect that the 2016 electoral map might look significantly different from what we've seen since 2000.
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Senator Snowstalker
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Cuba


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« Reply #28 on: October 15, 2012, 12:05:51 pm »
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A wild card: What would Cuomo/Beebe vs. Christie/Martinez look like?
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Democrats are out of power
Across that great wide ocean
Reagan's president elect
Fascist god in motion
Sol
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« Reply #29 on: October 15, 2012, 12:29:33 pm »
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A wild card: What would Cuomo/Beebe vs. Christie/Martinez look like?
Something like this, maybe:
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A Social Democrat from North Carolina's Fifth District.
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #30 on: October 24, 2012, 01:18:30 am »
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If you wanna know why Beyoncé's mic was turned off during her inauguration performance, here's why:


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JI1kq6CA_38   Cheesy

La Fway, Baby!
Spanish Moss
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« Reply #31 on: October 24, 2012, 04:10:22 am »
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I'd like to think New York, particularly upstate.  Maybe our issues would actually be addressed.  I can dream.
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5280/East California
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« Reply #32 on: October 24, 2012, 07:01:34 pm »
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What would the election be like if every state was toss up?
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Paul/Rubio 2016!
The Constable
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E: -6.58, S: -8.17

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« Reply #33 on: October 24, 2012, 07:39:25 pm »
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Is Missouri still that much of a swing state? Four years from now my odds would be on it getting redder.
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Hollande 2012

Though much is taken, much abides; and though
 We are not now that strength which in old days
 Moved earth and heaven; that which we are, we are;
 One equal temper of heroic hearts,
 Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
 To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
Skill and Chance
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« Reply #34 on: October 24, 2012, 09:41:16 pm »
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Generic D vs. Generic R



Specific candidates that would change the map:

Warner or Clinton vs. Generic R



Schweitzer or Hickenlooper vs. Generic R



Generic D vs. Rubio or Martinez or Cruz


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