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Atlas Forum
Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
2016 U.S. Presidential Election
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Swing States
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Topic: Swing States (Read 1123 times)
ModerateCoward
seatown
YaBB God
Posts: 3918
Re: Swing States
«
Reply #25 on:
October 14, 2012, 10:56:31 pm »
Quote from: 5280 on October 14, 2012, 12:37:13 am
I love how the Democrats love to bring the word 'racist' in every topic when it comes to immigration policies. You know being an illegal is breaking the law right?
There are lots of laws that should be broken, especially drug and immigration laws. Opebo would probably add another set of laws to that list.
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Nagas
YaBB God
Posts: 1523
Political Matrix
E: -2.45, S: -6.61
Re: Swing States
«
Reply #26 on:
October 14, 2012, 11:58:20 pm »
Too many D-friendly maps in the Midwest.
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My Timeline: Paradigm Shift
American Gold
Ѕenator Αverroës
Averroës Nix
YaBB God
Posts: 6705
Re: Swing States
«
Reply #27 on:
October 15, 2012, 11:58:47 am »
Nix's 2016 Statewide Presidential Race Ratings: Generic D vs. Generic R
Safe D
: CA+NY+IL+WA+MD+MA+HI+RI+DE+VT+DC =
154 EVs
Likely D
: PA+NJ+OR+CT+NM+ME =
57 EVs
Lean D
: MI+MN+NV =
32 EVs
Toss-ups
: OH+VA+WI+CO+IA+NH =
60 EVs
Lean R
= FL+AZ+NC =
55 EVs
Likely R
= TX+GA+IN+MO+MT =
78 EVs
Safe R
= TN+SC+AL+KY+LA+OK+UT+KS+AR+MS+WV+NE+ID+WY+ND+SD+AK =
102 EVs
All D: 243
All R: 235
Toss-ups: 60
Cautionary note: My degree of certainty is low. I suspect that the 2016 electoral map might look significantly different from what we've seen since 2000.
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Senator Snowstalker
Snowstalker
YaBB God
Posts: 11279
Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -2.96
Re: Swing States
«
Reply #28 on:
October 15, 2012, 12:05:51 pm »
A wild card: What would Cuomo/Beebe vs. Christie/Martinez look like?
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Democrats are out of power
Across that great wide ocean
Reagan's president elect
Fascist god in motion
Sol
YaBB God
Posts: 517
Political Matrix
E: -8.84, S: -5.65
Re: Swing States
«
Reply #29 on:
October 15, 2012, 12:29:33 pm »
Quote from: Snowmentum on October 15, 2012, 12:05:51 pm
A wild card: What would Cuomo/Beebe vs. Christie/Martinez look like?
Something like this, maybe:
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A Social Democrat from North Carolina's Fifth District.
solarstorm2012
Full Member
Posts: 128
Re: Swing States
«
Reply #30 on:
October 24, 2012, 01:18:30 am »
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If you wanna know why Beyoncé's mic was turned off during her inauguration performance, here's why:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JI1kq6CA_38
La Fway, Baby!
Spanish Moss
Sr. Member
Posts: 422
Political Matrix
E: -7.50, S: -7.38
Re: Swing States
«
Reply #31 on:
October 24, 2012, 04:10:22 am »
I'd like to think New York, particularly upstate. Maybe our issues would actually be addressed. I can dream.
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5280/East California
MagneticFree
YaBB God
Posts: 2581
Re: Swing States
«
Reply #32 on:
October 24, 2012, 07:01:34 pm »
What would the election be like if every state was toss up?
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Paul/Rubio 2016!
The Constable
Newbie
Posts: 15
Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -8.17
Re: Swing States
«
Reply #33 on:
October 24, 2012, 07:39:25 pm »
Is Missouri still that much of a swing state? Four years from now my odds would be on it getting redder.
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Hollande 2012
Though much is taken, much abides; and though
We are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven; that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
Skill and Chance
YaBB God
Posts: 1485
Re: Swing States
«
Reply #34 on:
October 24, 2012, 09:41:16 pm »
Generic D vs. Generic R
Specific candidates that would change the map:
Warner or Clinton vs. Generic R
Schweitzer or Hickenlooper vs. Generic R
Generic D vs. Rubio or Martinez or Cruz
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