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Author Topic: Swing States  (Read 3649 times)
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,631
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« on: October 11, 2012, 04:16:49 PM »

Depends on the nominees.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,631
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2012, 04:25:01 PM »

Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.
What about Atlanta?
It's more like a bigger version of Richmond/Charlotte.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,631
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2012, 09:36:52 PM »

Swing states by definition do not "lean."  And even if they did, Iowa and Ohio do not lean red.

I disagree. For example, Nevada and Florida are both considered swing states, but the former is generally understood to tilt Democrat and the latter Republican.

Then again, perhaps tilt is a better idea?

Georgia's got a little kick left it. Don't think it'll be turning into a swing state anytime soon. Nothing like the Research Triangle or NoVa to fuel Democrats.
What about Atlanta?
It's more like a bigger version of Richmond/Charlotte.

Basically. The Atlanta suburbs are very very Republican in a way that NoVa isn't.
How does Nevada tilt Democrat?  They haven't elected all Republican governors since 1998.
We're talking Presidential level. It voted Obama by 13 in 2008.

It's true at a lower level however that it is a key swing state, if not leaning R.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,631
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2012, 12:24:13 AM »

Shouldn't Mississippi be more Republican?
Ignore the margins. It's the same as 08.
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