Who gets the bounce?

[J. J.]

No bounce.  Biden rallied the base; Ryan did well with undecided voters.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Nobody gets a huge immediate bounce like last week, but Biden restored respect to Team Obama, if not in all quarters, then in a lot of the quarters it needs to win.

[Brittain33]

I actually thought this was a horrible debate.

No offense, but that's a good indicator it was good for Dems.

[Brittain33]

This will lead to a closing of the RV/LV gap that had been hurting Obama recently in the polls.

[Averroës Nix]

My mother and her husband are voting for Obama because they claim he is the "lesser of two evils" and they think that he's trying and deserves a second chance. They are concerned though over lack of enthusiasm and recent polls. What's funny is they are against gay marriage, against abortion, ect ect and stand with Obama despite his positions. I believe they and many voters vote on personality.

I understand that you lack interest in public policy, but surely you're at least aware that wedge issues do not comprise the only substantive differences between the two tickets?

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

There will not be a bounce for anyone.

[sentinel]

This debate stops the bleeding from BO/JB and puts the race in a freeze until Tuesday. Winner of Tuesday gets momentum.

[Jacob]

The AP poll doesn't exist and the CNBC poll is an online poll that later flipped to an advantage for Biden.

Not only do disgruntled right-wingers distrust actual polls, they actually concoct their own. Brilliant! Even better than unskewing.

Waiting for the poll of evangelical adulterers. Should lean Ryan.

[cinyc]

There's too little time in between the VP and second Presidential debates to measure any real bounce.  The second Presidential debate is next Tuesday.   The 7-day trackers won't be able to differentiate a post-VP debate bounce from the post-Presidential debate bounce without including pre-VP debate days.  The 3-day trackers will only be all post-VP debate for a day or two, which could just be measuring statistical noise instead of any prolonged bounce.

Sort of like Romney got "no bounce" from the RNC because the DNC was right afterwards and sort of cancelled it out in the tracking polls, yes? Either way, I think there will be some sort of bounce, probably undetected, because I'm assuming Democrats are more energized after last night. Biden did what Obama could not.

No.  I'm saying even if there is a bounce, there will be no real way to measure it because the second Presidential debate is so close to the Vice Presidential debate.  The conventions were a week apart.  There was a way to measure a bounce after the Republican debate with the 3-day trackers, which had three to four days of full post-RNC pre-DNC results.  Here, even the 3-day trackers will have little time to measure a bounce.  They will only be all post-Veep pre-second Presidential debate sample on Monday and maybe Tuesday - and even then, a one day bounce could possibly be statistical noise and not a real bounce.

That said, I don't think there will be much of a bounce.  Veep debates rarely cause one and there was no clear winner according to the polls.  Even SUSA had it only 48-41 Biden in the Ultra-Democratic state of California.