As of 10/13, who you think objectively wins Virginia?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 12:41:12 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  As of 10/13, who you think objectively wins Virginia?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Poll
Question: As of today (10/13), who wins the Old Dominion?
#1
Barack Obama		  
#2
Mitt Romney		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 84

Author Topic: As of 10/13, who you think objectively wins Virginia?  (Read 1270 times)
sg0508
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,058
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 13, 2012, 03:51:23 PM »
That will obviously be the "tone" state of the night and while I doubt it's called very early (as VA tends to count slowly), it should give us an indication of where we're going.  I thought it was just about over in the Old Dominion, but now Romney has new life.  What do you think and feel free to comment as to why.
Logged
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,921
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.77, S: 3.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2012, 03:53:41 PM »
Sadly, I think Romney will win it by 1-2.
Logged
Cryptic
Shadowlord88
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 891


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2012, 03:56:07 PM »
I still think Obama can pull it out.  Recent polls have been a mix and RCP still has Obama with an average 0.4 lead.  This depends on good debate performances ensuring Romney's momentum is halted though, so my mind might change on this by next week.
Logged
NHI
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,140


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2012, 04:00:44 PM »
Romney. 1-2 pts.
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,322
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2012, 04:09:34 PM »
Obama by 1-2 points, maybe 3 if he is having a good night.
Logged
Biden 2024
wolfentoad66
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 336
Norfolk Island


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2012, 04:21:59 PM »

LOL no. Obama 2-3 points.
Logged
Frodo
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,566
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2012, 04:27:26 PM »
As of now, Obama.  It could be a completely different story by next week, though. 
Logged
The Vorlon
Vorlon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,660


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: -4.21

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2012, 04:28:43 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2012, 04:31:28 PM by The Vorlon »
If the election was held today, I think Obama but just barely.

The election will not be held today, and things are moving in Romney's direction.

Ask me again tomorrow Smiley

I am undecided as to if  the Quinnipiac (Obama +5) or the WeAskAmerica (Romney +3) poll is a bigger disaster internally.... it's another close call...
Logged
HagridOfTheDeep
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,736
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2012, 04:34:41 PM »
If the election was today, my gut says Obama, even though I'd put the odds at 50/50. It would be the closest state.

On November 6th, I think we'll be in a position to predict a Romney win in Virginia with some degree of confidence.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2012, 04:41:27 PM »
If the election were held today, Obama.

It is drifting toward Romney and that is how it will go on election day.
Logged
Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2012, 04:42:37 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2012, 05:30:03 PM by Snowmentum »
Obama <50%
Logged
RogueBeaver
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,058
Canada
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2012, 04:43:08 PM »
Logged
dadge
Rookie
**
Posts: 49
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -2.00, S: -4.50

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2012, 04:43:52 PM »
Virginia is a bluer state than it was 4 years ago so I still think Obama will win it, unless he tanks again in the next debates.
Logged
Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2012, 04:46:58 PM »
I'm always surprised to see people arguing that the election is "drifting" in one way or another. The election isn't like an air hockey puck that continues to drift in whatever way it's nudged. I think momentum is an incredibly overrated concept in politics, especially at the presidential level.

I also disagree with the conventional wisdom here: I think Romney would probably narrowly win if the election were held today, while I give Obama the slightest of advantages for Election Day.
Logged
LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,322
Thailand


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2012, 04:47:57 PM »
Obama wins it, Virginia is not a racist state.
Logged
Biden 2024
wolfentoad66
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 336
Norfolk Island


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2012, 04:52:31 PM »
Quote from: ModerateCoward on October 13, 2012, 04:47:57 PM
Obama wins it, Virginia is not a racist state.

Dude, shut up. I'm tired of racial politics.
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 13, 2012, 05:55:19 PM »
I could see Romney winning the white vote 63-37, enough to make it close but probably will fall just short. A 50-49 Obama victory involves large margins in Fairfax, Prince William and a win in Loundon along with wins in Henrico and the college towns like Charlottesville.
Logged
opebo
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 47,009


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 13, 2012, 05:59:40 PM »
Quote from: wolfentoad66 on October 13, 2012, 04:52:31 PM
Quote from: ModerateCoward on October 13, 2012, 04:47:57 PM
Obama wins it, Virginia is not a racist state.

Dude, shut up. I'm tired of racial politics.

So, you're tired of America?  Maybe you should follow elections in Japan or somewhere.
Logged
Biden 2024
wolfentoad66
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 336
Norfolk Island


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2012, 06:06:34 PM »
Quote from: opebo on October 13, 2012, 05:59:40 PM
Quote from: wolfentoad66 on October 13, 2012, 04:52:31 PM
Quote from: ModerateCoward on October 13, 2012, 04:47:57 PM
Obama wins it, Virginia is not a racist state.

Dude, shut up. I'm tired of racial politics.

So, you're tired of America?  Maybe you should follow elections in Japan or somewhere.

Just so you know, Japan is racist. I also understand Racism is in politics, but Obama's not gonna win/lose Virginia because of it. I think most republicans don't hate Obama because he's black, but that's because I'm reasonable. Please stop posting stuff like this, Opebo. It's naive.
Logged
LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,322
Thailand


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 13, 2012, 06:09:43 PM »
Quote from: wolfentoad66 on October 13, 2012, 06:06:34 PM
Quote from: opebo on October 13, 2012, 05:59:40 PM
Quote from: wolfentoad66 on October 13, 2012, 04:52:31 PM
Quote from: ModerateCoward on October 13, 2012, 04:47:57 PM
Obama wins it, Virginia is not a racist state.

Dude, shut up. I'm tired of racial politics.

So, you're tired of America?  Maybe you should follow elections in Japan or somewhere.

Just so you know, Japan is racist. I also understand Racism is in politics, but Obama's not gonna win/lose Virginia because of it. I think most republicans don't hate Obama because he's black, but that's because I'm reasonable. Please stop posting stuff like this, Opebo. It's naive.
Ok, explain why Republicans hate Obama then.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 13, 2012, 06:16:45 PM »
Quote from: ModerateCoward on October 13, 2012, 06:09:43 PM
Quote from: wolfentoad66 on October 13, 2012, 06:06:34 PM
Quote from: opebo on October 13, 2012, 05:59:40 PM
Quote from: wolfentoad66 on October 13, 2012, 04:52:31 PM
Quote from: ModerateCoward on October 13, 2012, 04:47:57 PM
Obama wins it, Virginia is not a racist state.

Dude, shut up. I'm tired of racial politics.

So, you're tired of America?  Maybe you should follow elections in Japan or somewhere.

Just so you know, Japan is racist. I also understand Racism is in politics, but Obama's not gonna win/lose Virginia because of it. I think most republicans don't hate Obama because he's black, but that's because I'm reasonable. Please stop posting stuff like this, Opebo. It's naive.
Ok, explain why Republicans hate Obama then.

Well, I don't agree that we hate him.  I disagree with a lot of his economic policies.  I've been supportive of some of his military/foreign policy.
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 13, 2012, 06:18:56 PM »
Quote from: ModerateCoward on October 13, 2012, 06:09:43 PM
Ok, explain why Republicans hate Obama then.

they hated Clinton with the same passion -- since Reagan, they have not accepted the legitimacy of a non-Republican president.
Logged
Grumpier Than Uncle Joe
GM3PRP
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,080
Greece
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 13, 2012, 06:41:12 PM »
Quote from: wolfentoad66 on October 13, 2012, 04:52:31 PM
Quote from: ModerateCoward on October 13, 2012, 04:47:57 PM
Obama wins it, Virginia is not a racist state.

Dude, shut up. I'm tired of racial politics.

You can put your head in the sand all  you want......it won't change what's true.
Logged
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,709
United Kingdom


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 13, 2012, 07:18:55 PM »
Is this some kind of Marxist joke?
Logged
Grumpier Than Thou
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,364
United States
Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 13, 2012, 07:31:34 PM »
Obama...................maybe.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.055 seconds with 15 queries.