PA/NJ, Quinnipiac: Obama in the lead

[krazen1211]

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=1807


http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-centers/polling-institute/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=1806


NJ

Romney 43
Obama 51


PA

Romney 46
Obama 50



Not too shabby. Romney has made major gains with whites and these states are voting at 2004 levels.

[Phony Moderate]

In recent elections, New Jersey has always showed an occasional sign that it may be a battleground state, but it never comes it anything other than a solid Democratic win. I guess that will be the case this year too.

As for Pennsylvania, well, I think Romney might be regretting not contesting it.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Most people expected NJ to be a 10-14% win... this is relatively consistent with that.

I don't really understand why Romney didn't compete in PA... having said that, I'd be surprised if Romney hasn't hit his ceiling.

[J. J.]

I have a problem with Quinnipiac in PA.  Still, Obama's ground game is not as strong as it was in 2008.  I did see some SEIU people, but not as many as then.

[Reaganfan]

New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Quinnipiac University on 2012-10-14

Summary: D: 50%, R: 46%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[dirks]

yep, nj is starting to look a lot like Bush's 2004 totals. If Romney creeps any closer in NJ (or if Obama dips below 50% here) the President may be forced to defend it

It will be interesting to poll NJ again in a week to see if Mitt is within 6

[Reaganfan]

New Poll: New Jersey President by Quinnipiac University on 2012-10-14

Summary: D: 51%, R: 43%, I: 1%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Torie]

The significance of these polls, in tandem with CA where the Obama dominance is waning somewhat,  is that they increase the odds that Mittens will lead in the popular vote while losing the electoral college. Thank you.

[J. J.]

yep, nj is starting to look a lot like Bush's 2004 totals. If Romney creeps any closer in NJ (or if Obama dips below 50% here) the President may be forced to defend it

It will be interesting to poll NJ again in a week to see if Mitt is within 6

Obama could have to shift resources to PA/NJ, and deploy Biden here.

It would take resources out of OH and the Heartland in general. 

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

NJ is fool's gold, but Romney could get 45% or so there before it's all said and done. Obama shouldn't have to spend any money there. PA is about the same way. I think any money Romney dumps in there will be a bad investment.

[Eraserhead]

The significance of these polls, in tandem with CA where the Obama dominance is waning somewhat,  is that they increase the odds that Mittens will lead in the popular vote while losing the electoral college. Thank you.

Indeed.

[Brittain33]

Obama could have to shift resources to PA/NJ, and deploy Biden here.

It would take resources out of OH and the Heartland in general. 

Mm-hmm.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Obama could have to shift resources to PA/NJ, and deploy Biden here.

It would take resources out of OH and the Heartland in general. 

Mm-hmm.

J.J. you can't believe this.

[Likely Voter]

Romney advisor told Politco.com they arent going to change strategy and move resources into either MI or PA. I think Republicans have learned their lesson. These states arent voting GOP before OH, CO, IA, NH or even WI so what's the point?

That being said, if Obama is only ahead in PA by 4, then he is not ahead in OH by 5

[Vern]

Romney advisor told Politco.com they arent going to change strategy and move resources into either MI or PA. I think Republicans have learned their lesson. These states arent voting GOP before OH, CO, IA, NH or even WI so what's the point?

That being said, if Obama is only ahead in PA by 4, then he is not ahead in OH by 5

That is true, looking at trends, Romney should be at least tied or slightly ahead in OH, IA, NH and CO. That is if He is truly only down by four-ish in PA.