DailyKos/PPP - National - Romney up 4

[J. J.]

The poll has a slight D lean.

[J. J.]

Well, this obviously doesn't match up with Romney +1 in Florida or Obama +5 in Ohio.

It could, in several ways.  Romney is gaining in non-swing states.  There also could be a lot of movement, as the polls were not exactly contemporaneous.

[J. J.]

I think anyone looking at this poll with a Sunday sample THAT off and your reaction is anything beyond 'huh?' ... then yeah. FTR - I'd be saying exactly the same if the results were reversed...

It you took the first two days, it would be a tie, on a poll with a D "house effect."  Even if that effect is shrink, it is still there.

I'm wondering if Sunday had a bunch of call backs from the earlier in the weekend?

[J. J.]

This poll has already pretty much been discredited for overpolling conservatives.

PPP is a very good pollster with a Democratic lean.  It could be an outlier, but it is in line with some of these other ones.