The Debate Bounce

[Skill and Chance]

Back to the summer.  Not quite back to September.   All he needed to do was look competent and hit Romney, and he accomplished that.  The Romney jobs argument is persuasive enough to keep this quite close.  We'll see how he handles foreign policy.

[Skill and Chance]

-1

0 to -2.

He's going to get a negative bounce from winning a debate? You people are shameless, aren't you?

You dems really don't know anything.  The president came in behind, lost on the substance of every important issue, failed to outline a vision or a reason to reelect him, failed to rebut the challengers case that he is a failed president with no plan(specifically on the economy, the #1 issue), committed a major gaff with the Libya thing (Again).  He may have won on points(by being overly aggressive and annoying people), but Romney will win votes and Obama will lose votes, which is kinda the point.   

Exactly what would he have to say that would count as a "vision for a second term" to you?  

[Skill and Chance]

-1

0 to -2.

Romney might stop gaining at 50-51
Obama might gain a point or two off his 45-46
OR
Romney hits 52+ territory.

0 to -2.

Gallup: -1
Ras: -1
IBD: -1

It is still early.

Are you kidding me?  If Romney gains on that debate performance, this is truly over.  Let the data work themselves out, but if gallup and Ras aren't back to a tie by this weekend, there's no way back to September now.  It might be time for Dems to cut their losses and focus on turning out a <70% white electorate in 2016-20.