PPP for LCV: Tester ahead barely, Warren by 9

[Miles]

MT

Tester (D)- 46% (45)
Rehberg (R)- 44% (43)
Cox (L)- 7% (8 )

Romney- 53% (52)
Obama- 43% (41)

MA.

Warren (D)- 53% (50)
Brown (R)- 44% (44)

Obama- 57% (55)
Romney- 39% (43)

[Franzl]

Massachusetts is over.

[Lief 🗽]

Should we put these polls in the database?

Yes, it looks like Scott Brown's senate career is finished, thankfully.

[Miles]

Should we put these polls in the database?

If Tender approves...

[Mister Twister]

Yeah, Scott Brown is dead.

Is Cox going to spoil Montana?

[Miles]

Yeah, Scott Brown is dead.

Is Cox going to spoil Montana?

He's been consistently in the mid-single digits, so I'm not complaining.

[Miles]

New Poll: Massachusetts Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2012-10-16

Summary: D: 53%, R: 44%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Miles]

New Poll: Montana Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2012-10-16

Summary: D: 46%, R: 44%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Careful you guys don't jinx my state.

[colincb]

Careful you guys don't jinx my state.

She's got a very good ground game going, there's tons of money being spent here. and Brown seems to run out of new campaign ideas.  I'm still getting GOP mailers regarding Warren's legal work for asbestos-related victims when Warren's  campaign is running testimonials on TV from those same workers claiming Brown's not telling the truth. Pretty easy choice for most people. The margin seems a little high, but Warren was up 4-5 points in most polls and she won the last debate pretty convincingly by tying Brown's votes on specific important issues to the national GOP which is very unpopular.  Brown crafted a record which on its face seems center right, but he voted party line when it counts and you've got to be more balanced than that to get elected as a GOP senator in MA. His favorables have also taken quite a hit due to his negative campaign.  

I think this race is effectively over and given how the national race is a toss-up, I'm not worried about Dems not showing up to save the Senate.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Careful you guys don't jinx my state.

She's got a very good ground game going, there's tons of money being spent here. and Brown seems to run out of new campaign ideas.  I'm still getting GOP mailers regarding Warren's legal work for asbestos-related victims when Warren's  campaign is running testimonials on TV from those same workers claiming Brown's not telling the truth. Pretty easy choice for most people. The margin seems a little high, but Warren was up 4-5 points in most polls and she won the last debate pretty convincingly by tying Brown's votes on specific important issues to the national GOP which is very unpopular.  Brown crafted a record which on its face seems center right, but he voted party line when it counts and you've got to be more balanced than that to get elected as a GOP senator in MA. His favorables have also taken quite a hit due to his negative campaign.  

I think this race is effectively over and given how the national race is a toss-up, I'm not worried about Dems not showing up to save the Senate.

I know all this but I'm still jumpy.

Where in Massachusetts are you? I'm in Amherst-Northampton, so I kind of feel like I'm insulated from how the places that Warren actually needs to win are thinking and feeling.

[Ogre Mage]

It's good to see Warren's message of equality and economic fairness is working.

[Antonio the Sixth]

It's good to see Warren's message of equality and economic fairness is working.

The day people like Warren can be elected nationally, the US will be back on march to progress.

[Chaddyr23]

I had a dream that Obama picked Kerry as his S.O.S and had to relinquish his seat and Scott Brown back his seat lol.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I had a dream that Obama picked Kerry as his S.O.S and had to relinquish his seat and Scott Brown back his seat lol.

Nobody involved will make that mistake.

[minionofmidas]

Yeah, Scott Brown is dead.

Is Cox going to spoil Montana?

He's been consistently in the mid-single digits, so I'm not complaining.

Are Rehberg and Tester running very negative campaigns against each other or what?

[Miles]

Yeah, Scott Brown is dead.

Is Cox going to spoil Montana?

He's been consistently in the mid-single digits, so I'm not complaining.

Are Rehberg and Tester running very negative campaigns against each other or what?

I'm guessing Rehberg's ads were very negative. Tester had a 50/40 approval rating going into this cycle, as per PPP, and now thats flipped to almost 40/50.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I still suspect that Rehberg wins; Montana is hard to win in a presidential year. Warren wins for the same reason.

[Iosif]

How is the nutter beating the stud???