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link)
The survey was in the field from Sept. 23-30, 2012.
878 Likely Voters and have a margin of error of approximately +/- 3.5%.
Tinubu: 36.2 (34.5 Certain +1.7 Lean)
Rice: 48.9 (45.8 Certain +3.1 Lean)
Someone Else: 2.0
Not Sure: 10.3
Refused to Answer: 2.5
This seat was the GOP's to lose from the beginning, and they ain't losing it. It probably would have needed Andre Bauer getting the GOP nod and Preston Brittian getting the Dem nod for this to have had even a chance to be in play. Still, if Rice gets a hankering to make a run for the Senate in 2016 or for the Governor's office in 2018, I could see the Dems possibly making a future play for this seat.
