538 Update Thread (user search)
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May 01, 2024, 01:10:47 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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Author Topic: 538 Update Thread  (Read 12387 times)
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387
« on: October 31, 2012, 12:14:03 AM »
Yeah, he may hit 80% tomorrow.
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387
« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2012, 08:26:47 PM »
Quote from: JulioMadrid on November 01, 2012, 08:24:07 PM
Quote from: Speed of Sound on November 01, 2012, 08:19:47 PM
Another day, another bump for the President. A slew of polls (and another day off the calendar for the challenger) shifted the % chance of victory to 80.8-19.2, Romney's lowest numbers since the 6th of October. Furthermore, the PV projection is now 50.5-48.5, sending Obama for the first time in weeks back to a full 2 point lead there. VA and CO are at ~65%, IA at 79%, OH at 80%, NV at 87%, WI 91% (and PA 96%).

What about NC? (I can't enter the site.)

80% for Romney.
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387
« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2012, 08:11:01 PM »
Not really.

Silver has been saying that for months now. Jesus, do people not understand probabilities?
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Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387
« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2012, 09:15:12 PM »
EC-314.4-223.6
CW-91.4%-8.6%
PV-50.9%-48.2%

Obama is peaking at the right time.........
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