Obama holds lead over Romney among women voters
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Author Topic: Obama holds lead over Romney among women voters  (Read 717 times)
wan
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« on: October 21, 2012, 11:47:06 PM »

Ladies (Still) Love Obama

http://news.yahoo.com/ladies-still-love-obama-031347498.html

According to the latest poll numbers, the gender gap is on track to hit historic highs in the upcoming presidential election. The split isn't terribly surprising. President Obama, as expected, is holding his own among women voters, and Romney is the favorite among men. But the split is big, perhaps bigger than ever. "If only women voted, President Obama would be on track for a landslide re-election, equaling or exceeding his margin of victory over Senator John McCain in 2008," New York Times polling wizard Nate Silver explains. "If only men voted, Mr. Obama would be biding his time until a crushing defeat at the hands of Mitt Romney, who might win by a margin similar to the one Ronald Reagan realized over Jimmy Carter in 1980."
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It gets more interesting when you did down into the numbers. One poll put the gender gap at a staggering 33 points, whereas the average of those reviewed by Silver put it at a still significant 19 points. If there race were actually gender-specific, the margin of victory for either candidate would also be big: at least nine points. This is almost in line with the split during the Bush-Gore race of 2000, which at 20 points had the biggest gender gap on record since 1972 when exit polls were first conducted. Obama won the election in 2008 beating McCain by 13 points among female voters.
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Both candidates are obviously hyperaware of this giant gap, especially Romney who's been fighting hard to win more women voters. Ahead of last week's debate, some said that the night could be Romney's chance to reverse course and start gaining favor among women voters again. Anyone who watched the debate knows that didn't happen, in part due to that thing Romney said about "binders full of women." However, as The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza pointed out in the aftermath of the debate, Romney is still more popular among women than both McCain was in 2008, Bush in 2000 and Bob Dole in 1992.
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It gets a little more complicated when you try to pick the issue that's causing the divide, but Silver says all signs point to women's health. It's been a particularly active issue lately, as states enacted 92 new laws restricting abortion in 2011 and Republican-after-Republican has trampled on the issue for the entire election cycle. Obama's done nothing but some out strongly, in favor of a woman's right to choose. "There are millions of women all across the country who rely on Planned Parenthood for not just contraceptive care," he said at the Hofstra debate last week. "They rely on it for mammograms, for cervical-cancer screenings. That's a pocketbook issue for women and families all across the country."
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There may be nothing for poor Mitt Romney to do. On one hand, women have always loved Obama. On the other hand, according to a focus group full of women after the last debate, women find Romney to be kind of "douchey." Nevermind what people are saying about Paul Ryan.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2012, 12:18:37 AM »

The story doesn't cite a poll. 
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Alcon
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« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2012, 12:19:26 AM »


...it cites an analysis of a huge number of polls?
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J. J.
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« Reply #3 on: October 22, 2012, 12:33:18 AM »


...it cites an analysis of a huge number of polls?

It cites an article that mentions the Pew poll and that ABC/WP poll, both of which showed it closing.  It also cites Silver, who noted the big gender gap in a Zogby poll. 
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J. J.
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« Reply #4 on: October 22, 2012, 12:36:19 AM »

In all fairness, Obama is leading with women, but Romney has closed that gap somewhat.
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Alcon
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« Reply #5 on: October 22, 2012, 12:41:18 AM »

"whereas the average of those reviewed by Silver put it at a still significant 19 points."

I'm not sure where you get that he evaluated one Zogby Poll
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opebo
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2012, 04:54:26 AM »

Well, he bloody well better have a lead with women or he wouldn't have a snowball's chance...
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Sbane
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2012, 07:01:12 AM »

I think in general it's the 18-35 single, unmarried (and unmarry-able because theyre shrill nasty bitches)  that love their abortion that mainly keep obama afloat. Married women...and women who arent psychos seem to lean Romney

Yeah...but on the flip side no one with an IQ over 90 votes for Romney.
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dirks
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2012, 07:51:24 AM »

Obama leads Romney among single, shrill 18-40 women...why? Romney is handsome, been in a wonderful marriage since the 60's, consistent, kind, a tremendous earner, husband and father

in short...the 18-40 crowd hate that. They like a philandering bad boy (Clinton) who's a little bid dangerous, or somebody who is exotic like Obama who feel as though he's being oppressed by his nasty, domineering wife Michelle.

Married women who "get it" are with Romney. The young single entitled psychopaths are with Obama

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dirks
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2012, 07:52:39 AM »
« Edited: October 22, 2012, 08:03:44 AM by dirks »

I think in general it's the 18-35 single, unmarried (and unmarry-able because theyre shrill nasty bitches)  that love their abortion that mainly keep obama afloat. Married women...and women who arent psychos seem to lean Romney

Yeah...but on the flip side no one with an IQ over 90 votes for Romney.

I think it's safe to assume those that earn $150,000+ a year have an IQ over 90

I'd also like to know the IQ of Obamaphone lady and her brethren, because you know on election day they're all going to be herded onto buses and ordered to vote for Obama...all Rhodes Scholars I'm sure
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krazen1211
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2012, 08:47:05 AM »

Married women who "get it" are with Romney. The young single entitled psychopaths are with Obama


Obama and big government are the surrogate fill in husband meant to fill the provider role.
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Holmes
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2012, 09:00:15 AM »

Do you guys actually listen to yourselves talk? It's kinda sad.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2012, 09:02:39 AM »

Oh cool, a new misogynist poster! 
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DrScholl
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2012, 09:18:09 AM »

Some people are really messed up to say the things that they say. It's no wonder Republicans have issues winning women.
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Sbane
sbane
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2012, 10:23:41 AM »

I think in general it's the 18-35 single, unmarried (and unmarry-able because theyre shrill nasty bitches)  that love their abortion that mainly keep obama afloat. Married women...and women who arent psychos seem to lean Romney

Yeah...but on the flip side no one with an IQ over 90 votes for Romney.

I think it's safe to assume those that earn $150,000+ a year have an IQ over 90

But they do it out of self interest. Those making 150K+ a year aren't interested in their tax dollars being wasted on wars just as they aren't interested in giveaways to Democratic interest groups. In addition they oppose the war on women, which you are a perfect example of, but the guys just ignore it and vote Republican. In any case, after Romney invades Iran, good luck holding on to this demographic. You already lose this demographic in blue states....
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