Who will win the election?
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  Who will win the election?
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Poll
Question: With the debates out of the way, Who wins the Election?
#1
Barack Obama
 
#2
Mitt Romney
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 83

Author Topic: Who will win the election?  (Read 4491 times)
Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #25 on: October 23, 2012, 08:58:15 AM »



Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Representative Paul Ryan (R-WI) - 285 EVs
President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) - 253 EVs
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Tidus
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« Reply #26 on: October 23, 2012, 08:59:33 AM »



Obama / Biden: 332 EV
Romney / Ryan: 206 EV
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Sasquatch
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« Reply #27 on: October 23, 2012, 09:12:27 AM »



Obama  50%  303 EV
Romney 48%  235 EV
Johnson 1%
Others   1%
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #28 on: October 23, 2012, 11:28:07 AM »

I have no idea why some Dem hacks are still giving Obama Florida.  If an incumbent President trails in the average of polls in a state, he isnt winning that state.   I cant think of a single time it has happened.  Maybe Reagan winning Massachussetts in 1980 when Mondale had the lead in the late average of polls.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #29 on: October 23, 2012, 12:42:28 PM »

I have no idea why some Dem hacks are still giving Obama Florida.  If an incumbent President trails in the average of polls in a state, he isnt winning that state.   I cant think of a single time it has happened.  Maybe Reagan winning Massachussetts in 1980 when Mondale had the lead in the late average of polls.

It's predicated on some movement back towards Obama in the last two weeks, obviously.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #30 on: October 23, 2012, 01:05:55 PM »

This:



Romney:  285

Obama:  253

The only change I've made in the last fortnight was IA.


Win.
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Ljube
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« Reply #31 on: October 23, 2012, 01:26:38 PM »

My map which hasn't changed in the last two months:




I'm going to start calling some of the tossups during the next week.
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opebo
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« Reply #32 on: October 23, 2012, 01:29:55 PM »

My map which hasn't changed in the last two months:




I'm going to start calling some of the tossups during the next week.

Dude, if Florida isn't a tossup then Nevada sure isn't.
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Ljube
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« Reply #33 on: October 23, 2012, 01:32:35 PM »
« Edited: October 23, 2012, 01:37:04 PM by Ljube »

My map which hasn't changed in the last two months:




I'm going to start calling some of the tossups during the next week.

Dude, if Florida isn't a tossup then Nevada sure isn't.

It’s still too early to call Nevada. I don’t want to make wrong calls.

I think the undecideds are going to break for Romney and I want to see the real number of undecideds in the final polls.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #34 on: October 23, 2012, 01:37:43 PM »

No idea, but my gut still says Obama.
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Paul Kemp
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« Reply #35 on: October 23, 2012, 01:39:11 PM »

Whoever wins Ohio.
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traininthedistance
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« Reply #36 on: October 23, 2012, 01:44:33 PM »



Obama: 50% - 280 EV
Romney: 48.5% - 258 EV
Johnson: 1%
Others: 0.5%

Iowa, Colorado, and Virginia are close to pure tossups and could go either way.  I am rather more confident that Romney will overperform in New Hampshire and, likewise, Obama will be strong in Ohio. 
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5280
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« Reply #37 on: October 23, 2012, 02:49:04 PM »



Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Representative Paul Ryan (R-WI) - 285 EVs
President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) - 253 EVs
This is my guess right now, but have Ohio as tossup.
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milhouse24
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« Reply #38 on: October 23, 2012, 03:49:08 PM »

I think Romney will win. 

Most people are just sick of Obama, and want to turn the page.
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opebo
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« Reply #39 on: October 23, 2012, 03:50:48 PM »

I think Romney will win. 

Most people are just sick of Obama, and want to turn the page.

Give us a map, lil fella, and tell us a tale about who is sick and why.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
Ernest
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« Reply #40 on: October 23, 2012, 07:20:27 PM »

The Wilson thing isn't really appropriate because in 1912 he was facing a badly divided GOP.  Wilson didn't win in 1912, the GOP lost.
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