Md went dem with southern candidate (Gore, Clinton, Carter) but went rep with guys like Dukakis or Mondale (so Kerry can loose)
The Northeast Corridor has become much more liberal in the last 12 years. PG, Monty, Baltimore City/County, up through the Wilmington 'burbs, are the bulk of the population, and have become solid Dem territory. Bush only takes this state in a landslide.
Hardly. before Clinton you could find people openly willing to discuss things like socialized medicine and the like in the NE corridor. Not that I'm complaining. It's not that they have become more liberal, it's that the DLC was fairly successful in the early and mid 90s in converting the Dems to a more conservative party. Now they appear set to be dragged the other way. Meanwhile the GOP has become more liberal, big deficit spenders and big government intrusion. The populace isn't shifting, the parties are.
Your hypothesis (which is a very good one, btw) will be tested this November. If you are correct, Bush will win New Jersey.
Regardless of he's right or not, Bush could never win New Jersey because of social issues. No Republican to the right of Christie Todd Whitman stands a chance there.
I didn't get into this stuff until about when McGreevy was elected, what exactly did she stand for?
And yes, social issues alone would never allow Bush to win here. Not to mention subrubs are trending Dem, and NJ is basically one big suburb. It'd have to be a landslide.
