NY: Marist College: Obama breaking 60%, on course to replicate his 2008 margin of victory

[Lief 🗽]

New Poll: New York President by Marist College on 2012-10-24

Summary: D: 61%, R: 35%, I: 1%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[old timey villain]

It's weird that the movement towards Romney in the swing states (compared to 2008) isn't reflected in the solidly blue states. There is definitely nothing close to a uniform swing going on this cycle.

[Eraserhead]

It's weird that the movement towards Romney in the swing states (compared to 2008) isn't reflected in the solidly blue states. There is definitely nothing close to a uniform swing going on this cycle.

Some blue states are seeing a huge swing to Romney. Connecticut being an obvious example.

New York will be a bloodbath again though.

[Adam Griffin]

Nostalgic news!

[J. J.]

Uni poll.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

NY will be Obama's best state behind Hawaii and Vermont.  The Wall St. types that like him don't even live in the city, they live in CT (there ya go Eraserhead), and I'm willing to bet Romney is extremely unpopular amongst actual NYC residents.

[Linus Van Pelt]

It's weird that the movement towards Romney in the swing states (compared to 2008) isn't reflected in the solidly blue states. There is definitely nothing close to a uniform swing going on this cycle.

Some blue states are seeing a huge swing to Romney. Connecticut being an obvious example.

New York will be a bloodbath again though.

For what it's worth, this poll has Obama just +3 in the NYC suburbs but +15 upstate. There may be some strong swings here under the surface.

[Eraserhead]

It's weird that the movement towards Romney in the swing states (compared to 2008) isn't reflected in the solidly blue states. There is definitely nothing close to a uniform swing going on this cycle.

Some blue states are seeing a huge swing to Romney. Connecticut being an obvious example.

New York will be a bloodbath again though.

For what it's worth, this poll has Obama just +3 in the NYC suburbs but +15 upstate. There may be some strong swings here under the surface.

Sure, it's a big state, there will be some interesting stuff here and there... but the overall result will be similar to '08's.

[pbrower2a]

This poll could also show the 2012 election looking much like that of 2008 with statewide results again resembling those of four years ago. Note that Democrats seem poised to make some Senate gains where they were not first expected.

What some consider "momentum" can carry one into a Plexiglass shield that pushes one back forcefully. One must break the Plexiglass to keep moving in the same direction.

[TheGlobalizer]

It's Marist, people.  In NY.  I don't even know why this poll gets done, or why anyone cares that it was.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

It's weird that the movement towards Romney in the swing states (compared to 2008) isn't reflected in the solidly blue states. There is definitely nothing close to a uniform swing going on this cycle.

Remember.. NH, WI, IA, CO and arguably VA were solidly blue back in 2008, and the closeness of the election is most definitely reflected there.  If you are talking about the states where Obama won by 15-20 pts... possibly, because unlike 2000 and 2004 with Bush, Romney isn't even bothering with the core Democratic states (those that went for Gore AND Kerry), minus Wisconsin.  Romney's campaign is very nuanced and focused on the battlegrounds.  Even so, it's hard to find a state that's actually going to swing towards Obama.  MAYBE Arizona and Alaska... possibly Ohio.