Poll of Florida political insiders say Romney wins FL
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 01:42:14 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  Poll of Florida political insiders say Romney wins FL
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Poll of Florida political insiders say Romney wins FL  (Read 807 times)
Cliffy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 593
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 26, 2012, 11:23:51 PM »


Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/content/fla-insider-poll-romney-heavily-favored-win-fla
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 26, 2012, 11:28:54 PM »

I think MOST sensible people give Romney the edge in FL, considering it had one of the smallest swing-state margins in 2008...
Logged
Cliffy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 593
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2012, 11:40:00 PM »

Seems to be alot of doubt around here that Florida is not in play, the title of the article is "Romney heavily favored"
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,405
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 26, 2012, 11:40:22 PM »

And what do you think would be the results of this sort of poll in Ohio, Cliffy?
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 26, 2012, 11:43:55 PM »

Nate Silver gives Romney a 63% of winning FL; decent, but that doesn't make him a 'heavy favorite.'
Logged
Cliffy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 593
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 26, 2012, 11:59:59 PM »

Nate Silver gives Romney a 63% of winning FL; decent, but that doesn't make him a 'heavy favorite.'

If a lib hack gives Romney a 63% chance of winning anything, put a 2nd mortgage on your house and bet it all.
Logged
Cliffy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 593
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2012, 12:00:57 AM »

And what do you think would be the results of this sort of poll in Ohio, Cliffy?

Well I'd guess 50/50. 
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2012, 12:02:20 AM »

Nate Silver gives Romney a 63% of winning FL; decent, but that doesn't make him a 'heavy favorite.'

If a lib hack gives Romney a 63% chance of winning anything, put a 2nd mortgage on your house and bet it all.

So the person who got 49/50 states and all Senate races in 2008... is a hack. Ugh, I worry for the bubble.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2012, 12:09:29 AM »

Nate Silver gives Romney a 63% of winning FL; decent, but that doesn't make him a 'heavy favorite.'

If a lib hack gives Romney a 63% chance of winning anything, put a 2nd mortgage on your house and bet it all.

That liberal hack also gave Sharron Angle a 72% chance of winning. 'Good thing I didn't take that bet to Vegas...
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2012, 12:37:44 AM »
« Edited: October 27, 2012, 12:46:11 AM by Gass3268 »

Nate Silver is not a liberal hack, while he admits he supports Obama, he gains his reputation for being accurate in his predictions. If he is as wrong to the extent many right-wingers are now claiming he won't have his job come 2016.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,543


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2012, 01:53:19 AM »

Id say Florida is almost certainly safer for Romney than Ohio is for Obama. 
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2012, 02:03:55 AM »

Id say Florida is almost certainly safer for Romney than Ohio is for Obama. 

I think they're probably as safe as each other.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2012, 02:12:46 AM »

Obama is ahead by more in Ohio right now than Romney is in Florida.
Logged
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,543


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2012, 02:17:29 AM »

Obama is ahead by more in Ohio right now than Romney is in Florida.

Real Clear Politics has Obama leading by 2.3% in Ohio and Romney leading 1.8% in Florida.  The difference here is that Obama is the incumbent at just 48% and will probably lose a majority of the undecideds. 
Logged
SUSAN CRUSHBONE
a Person
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
Antarctica


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2012, 03:08:22 AM »

Obama is ahead by more in Ohio right now than Romney is in Florida.

Real Clear Politics has Obama leading by 2.3% in Ohio and Romney leading 1.8% in Florida.  The difference here is that Obama is the incumbent at just 48% and will probably lose a majority of the undecideds. 

1) The RCP guys aren't even trying to look objective; no-name polls are added when they favour Republicans but not otherwise (Gravis/Susquehanna vs. Pharos)

2) Every time you mention the 'incumbent rule', Fluttershy cries:

Logged
Ljube
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,999
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 27, 2012, 03:09:12 AM »

Nate Silver is not a liberal hack, while he admits he supports Obama, he gains his reputation for being accurate in his predictions. If he is as wrong to the extent many right-wingers are now claiming he won't have his job come 2016.

He will have his job in any case. If Dick Morris can still have his job anybody can.
Logged
milhouse24
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,331
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 27, 2012, 10:51:00 AM »

Nate Silver is not a liberal hack, while he admits he supports Obama, he gains his reputation for being accurate in his predictions. If he is as wrong to the extent many right-wingers are now claiming he won't have his job come 2016.

You do realize he works for the "liberal" New York Times.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.045 seconds with 14 queries.