CO 2014
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Author Topic: CO 2014  (Read 15247 times)
California8429
A-Bob
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #100 on: July 13, 2013, 02:06:46 PM »

Jaime McMillion announced at a gay pride parade for US Senate. Former write in candidate for Congress. Fiscal conservative ish and socially liberal. Once was a democrat...I really don't see why he's a republican because he's still more in line with the democrat party. Anyway, nice website but I don't see how he'll make any progress getting 30% of the delegates who are very conservative.
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California8429
A-Bob
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« Reply #101 on: July 14, 2013, 09:45:36 PM »

I went to Brophy's rally, he's going to try to position himself as a reasonable republican who can satisfy the republican base and reach out to independents. If the race locks like this, he will win the nomination. This isn't the gaffe prone Brophy we love and know. He's goofy and goofy looking but so is Hickenlooper, in fact they could be cousins. Brophy isn't a crazy right tea party amateur. Odds heavily favor Hickenlooper, but I'm convince Brophy could win a general election. No way Tancredo or Gessler could.

I hear Mike Kopp wants in though so that can totally throw things off. Buck, Stephens, and Beauprez are looking at U.S. Senate
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California8429
A-Bob
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« Reply #102 on: July 24, 2013, 01:16:39 PM »

Ken Buck is considered certain to launch a campaign for Senate now.

Meanwhile we still don't know what Gessler is running for, just that he wants a job and doesn't understand how toxic he is to republicans so please give up the SoS run so we can win the seat.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #103 on: July 25, 2013, 04:34:06 AM »

What did Gessler do?
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publicunofficial
angryGreatness
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« Reply #104 on: July 25, 2013, 05:14:29 AM »


Ethics violations + general hackishness (Ordered that mail-in ballots not be sent to people that didn't vote in 2010)
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5280
MagneticFree
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« Reply #105 on: August 02, 2013, 11:44:57 AM »
« Edited: August 02, 2013, 11:51:09 AM by 5280/East California »

Greg Brophy is looking like a reasonable candidate, I watched and listened to his interview on 9news.  Not bad guy for the Republicans, a Prius owner and a cyclist, interesting regardless. Would I vote for him?  Not sure yet, but most likely since there are no Libertarian candidates running.
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sg0508
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« Reply #106 on: August 02, 2013, 05:36:35 PM »

When's the last time CO actually threw an incumbent out? Even Wayne Allard survived there (partly due to the GOP strength in 2002).

Even the mediocre Hickenlooper survives.  I'm betting by 8 points or so.  I still think the demographics change in CO strongly favors him.
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5280
MagneticFree
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« Reply #107 on: August 04, 2013, 12:29:39 PM »

When's the last time CO actually threw an incumbent out? Even Wayne Allard survived there (partly due to the GOP strength in 2002).

Even the mediocre Hickenlooper survives.  I'm betting by 8 points or so.  I still think the demographics change in CO strongly favors him.
Only the urban areas with populated liberals in Denver and Boulder.
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California8429
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« Reply #108 on: August 08, 2013, 01:54:17 PM »

Ken Buck just filed to run against Udall.

At this point it will probably be Buck vs Owens. If Amy Stephens enters she'll be the de facto Norton (a woman who conservatives in the party hate and is a large part of the reason republicans lost the house in 2012)
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #109 on: August 08, 2013, 02:15:11 PM »

What are the odds of CO Democrats winning the CO Secy of State, State Treasurer and State AG races in 2014 ?

Hickenlooper will win reelection as Governor, but by around 12 points.
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California8429
A-Bob
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« Reply #110 on: August 08, 2013, 07:10:24 PM »

What are the odds of CO Democrats winning the CO Secy of State, State Treasurer and State AG races in 2014 ?

Hickenlooper will win reelection as Governor, but by around 12 points.


If gessler runs for re-election in SoS, that is a safe D pick-up. Stapleton has the edge in the Treasurer rate because he's the incumbent and hasn't pissed anyone off, though Markey is the strongest possible challenger and that's who he'll be up against. AG is anyone's game, both sides have strong candidates.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #111 on: August 25, 2013, 07:05:21 AM »

Can Tom Tancredo beat Hickenlooper?

The last poll of Quinnipiac (23/08)

Hickenlooper 46%
Tancredo 45%
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #112 on: August 26, 2013, 09:06:57 AM »

Tancredo is being undestimated slightly if for no other reason then the polarized state of Colorado politics, but it would be very difficult to get him above that 45%/46% level.
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TX Conservative Dem
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« Reply #113 on: August 26, 2013, 04:04:13 PM »

Any chance the Colorado Democrats win back down-ballot statewide offices in 2014:
State Attorney General-OPEN (Suthers term-limited from seeking 3rd term)
State Treasurer
Secretary of State

Colorado should consider adding more down-ballot statewide offices.
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5280
MagneticFree
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« Reply #114 on: September 15, 2013, 01:40:01 PM »

Can Tom Tancredo beat Hickenlooper?

The last poll of Quinnipiac (23/08)

Hickenlooper 46%
Tancredo 45%
Look at the 1998 governor election in Colorado. Bill Owens ran against Gail Schoettler, barely won with 49.06% to 48.43%.  It is possible.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #115 on: September 20, 2013, 04:43:58 AM »

Gessler is in for CO-Gov. Wonder how the primary is going to play out. I've been assuming Tancredo is the most favored there but there hasn't been any polling on that to confirm/deny.

http://www.9news.com/news/article/355604/339/Amid-flood-Gessler-announces-bid-for-governor

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sg0508
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« Reply #116 on: September 20, 2013, 07:59:38 AM »

My two assumptions with CO as of now:

1) The state GOP is completely inept and in ruins internally
2) Until the GOP can win a major statewide race there, I'm assuming they'll keep losing.

Hickenlooper will win, possibly by 10 points when all is said and done.
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hopper
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« Reply #117 on: September 20, 2013, 06:19:51 PM »

My two assumptions with CO as of now:

1) The state GOP is completely inept and in ruins internally
2) Until the GOP can win a major statewide race there, I'm assuming they'll keep losing.

Hickenlooper will win, possibly by 10 points when all is said and done.
I don't think the CO GOP is nowhere in ruins when you compare it to the CA or NY GOP. Its a purple state as well.
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