OH-University of Cincinnati Poll: Tied race, 49-49
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  OH-University of Cincinnati Poll: Tied race, 49-49		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: OH-University of Cincinnati Poll: Tied race, 49-49  (Read 5370 times)
Lief 🗽
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« on: October 27, 2012, 11:12:21 PM »
http://www.ohio.com/news/local-news/presidential-race-tied-in-ohio-newspaper-poll-1.345675

Bad news for Obama, this poll is historically one of the best in the state.
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Ty440
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2012, 11:16:55 PM »
Turnout turnout.

We have Va as a backup, in case Ohio falls.
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Cliffy
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2012, 11:17:08 PM »
49-49, 1% other, 1% dont know

D+6 turnout, (D+1 10', D+5 08)

Only 10% independents??? After pushed

http://www.ohio.com/news/local-news/presidential-race-tied-in-ohio-newspaper-poll-1.345675
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Yank2133
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2012, 11:18:04 PM »
All about turnout now.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2012, 11:19:33 PM »
Eeeeee!
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Devils30
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2012, 11:21:28 PM »
I would not be shocked one bit if Virginia/Colorado save Obama in the end.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2012, 11:22:01 PM »
Quote from: Obamanation of Obama's Nation on October 27, 2012, 11:16:55 PM
Turnout turnout.

We have Va as a backup, in case Ohio falls.

Obama has three times as many campaign offices in Ohio than Romney for the record.
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Devils30
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2012, 11:24:21 PM »
Is this the Univ. Cincinnati poll? It says Akron Beacon
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DrScholl
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2012, 11:25:27 PM »
It's a bit old, taken Oct. 18-23, newer polls haven't shown a tie (save for Rasmussen).

And then there is this, which is not good news for Romney.

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Losing that much support among independents does not indicate a win.
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Ty440
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2012, 11:25:53 PM »
Quote from: Devils30 on October 27, 2012, 11:21:28 PM
I would not be shocked one bit if Virginia/Colorado save Obama in the end.

I agree Ohio has always been a demographically tough state for Obama, Virginia is a much better .
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Orion0
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2012, 11:26:24 PM »
Quote from: Dying Thoughts of a Martyr on October 27, 2012, 11:22:01 PM
Quote from: Obamanation of Obama's Nation on October 27, 2012, 11:16:55 PM
Turnout turnout.

We have Va as a backup, in case Ohio falls.

Obama has three times as many campaign offices in Ohio than Romney for the record.

Law of diminishing returns. If Romney thought it would help in a serious way, there'd be more offices. This poll is encouraging news i must say, even given my inherent distrust of polls.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2012, 11:26:55 PM »
We just have to take each poll at they come.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2012, 11:27:13 PM »
This poll is old, they last collected data before the third debate.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2012, 11:27:58 PM »
New Poll: Ohio President by University of Cincinnati on 2012-10-26

Summary: D: 49%, R: 49%, I: 1%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2012, 11:28:14 PM »
Quote from: Yank2133 on October 27, 2012, 11:27:13 PM
This poll is old, they last collected data before the third debate.

I was just going to say this, still a good poll for Romney, but it is old.
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Ty440
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« Reply #15 on: October 27, 2012, 11:29:23 PM »

Right, this week is going to be a roller coaster of emotions.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #16 on: October 27, 2012, 11:29:40 PM »
Very good news for Romney, though I'd like to see at least a poll or two showing him ahead here before I start feeling optimistic about election night.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #17 on: October 27, 2012, 11:30:25 PM »
« Edited: October 27, 2012, 11:34:59 PM by Nathan »
Poll's like five days old now. Moreover, Obama unquestionably has a better ground game in this particular state.

Nevertheless, Ohio was manifestly never actually going to be as easy as it looked, and that still holds true.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #18 on: October 27, 2012, 11:33:41 PM »
Lord have mercy, this is going to be close.
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Oakvale
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« Reply #19 on: October 27, 2012, 11:33:44 PM »

That's good to know, actually.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2012, 11:33:52 PM »
Why did they take so long to release this?
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Devils30
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« Reply #21 on: October 27, 2012, 11:34:42 PM »
I don't think it's a coincidence Obama has visited NH and VA a lot in the past couple weeks. Those two would get him to exactly 270 without Ohio. And both have a large portion of educated whites.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #22 on: October 27, 2012, 11:35:00 PM »
Attention I assume... Or it's for a Sunday feature?
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Cliffy
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« Reply #23 on: October 27, 2012, 11:36:12 PM »
D+6 turnout, (D+1 10', D+5 08), better hope you get a better turnout than 08. Smiley

Only 10% independents??? After pushed


Would have been nice to see the original samples....
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wan
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« Reply #24 on: October 27, 2012, 11:37:45 PM »
« Edited: October 27, 2012, 11:39:45 PM by wan »

I thought republican cliffy posted this not Dino. NEW POLL CNN time warner has Obama up 4 points
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