CA-36: Ruiz (D) internal shows him ahead by six over MBM

[Lief 🗽]

http://www.scribd.com/doc/111615704/CA-36-Lake-Research-for-Raul-Ruiz-Oct-2012

Ruiz (D): 48%
Bono Mack (R): 42%

Great news! We're gonna be picking up lots of seats in California.

[Lief 🗽]

http://www.scribd.com/doc/111615704/CA-36-Lake-Research-for-Raul-Ruiz-Oct-2012

Ruiz (D): 48%
Bono Mack (R): 42%

Great news! We're gonna be picking up lots of seats in California.

I am saving this one. Your team might pick up two net as a top of the bell curve prediction.  The Pubs are going to nab one from the Dems as an offset.

Still saving this one Torie? Looks like the Dems are going to end up with a 38-15 delegation lead, so +4.

[Lief 🗽]

To be fair to Torie, I don't think anyone saw this seat flipping, or Bilbray's. Lungren always seemed to have trouble winning re-election and Ami Bera had Silicon Valley money behind him so that wasn't too surprising to me.

CA-52 had the 10th highest DCCC spending (almost $2 million) and CA-36 had over $1 million from the DCCC. Both these seats had been in play for at least a month before election day. Most forecasts had the races as toss-ups too.