New WI poll by Marquette will be out later today
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Author Topic: New WI poll by Marquette will be out later today  (Read 4803 times)
Oakvale
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« Reply #25 on: October 31, 2012, 12:32:13 PM »

Yeah, game over in Wisconsin, I think.

Torie hasn't been handling this well.

Yeah, I mean, the guy's got gym and weed to keep him happy, but I'm still starting to get a little concerned for him.

True, but we're all getting mildly frazzled, maybe more so if your candidate's on the wrong side of the polls. Hopefully this election ends before we all die of anxiety attacks.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #26 on: October 31, 2012, 12:39:04 PM »

Game.  Set.  Match in the Badger state. 

I'm sure the Romney campaign is thrilled that their chances have come down to a Hail Mary in PA. 
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Gass3268
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« Reply #27 on: October 31, 2012, 12:40:38 PM »

It's time for the networks to move Wisconsin out of the toss up cateogry. Case closed!
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #28 on: October 31, 2012, 12:46:14 PM »

The important thing is the 51%... Obama hasn't been below 48% in Wisconsin since August. Paul Ryan might have made things closer... but he seems to have also solidified Obama's Democratic support in the state.

Of course, the Ohio polls today are even worse news for Mitt.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #29 on: October 31, 2012, 01:05:31 PM »

The important thing is the 51%... Obama hasn't been below 48% in Wisconsin since August. Paul Ryan might have made things closer... but he seems to have also solidified Obama's Democratic support in the state.

Of course, the Ohio polls today are even worse news for Mitt.

U. of Cinn. showing Obama at 48% and only by 2 certainly is too close for comfort.  But at the moment, I would have to think Obama has locked these states up. (IA is probably gone because Romney just can't focus there right now... he needs more bang for the buck with so little time left)



Right now OH wins it for him, VA wins it for him, FL wins it for him, or CO+NH wins it for him.  Romney should set up camp in OH and VA... and in all honesty, just pray one of NH or CO fall his way. 

Wisconsin was a nice idea a few days ago when OH might have seemed too tough a cookie to crack, but now it's looking like WI/IA are even tougher than OH. 



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Ljube
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« Reply #30 on: October 31, 2012, 01:22:09 PM »

The important thing is the 51%... Obama hasn't been below 48% in Wisconsin since August. Paul Ryan might have made things closer... but he seems to have also solidified Obama's Democratic support in the state.

Of course, the Ohio polls today are even worse news for Mitt.

U. of Cinn. showing Obama at 48% and only by 2 certainly is too close for comfort.  But at the moment, I would have to think Obama has locked these states up. (IA is probably gone because Romney just can't focus there right now... he needs more bang for the buck with so little time left)



Right now OH wins it for him, VA wins it for him, FL wins it for him, or CO+NH wins it for him.  Romney should set up camp in OH and VA... and in all honesty, just pray one of NH or CO fall his way. 

Wisconsin was a nice idea a few days ago when OH might have seemed too tough a cookie to crack, but now it's looking like WI/IA are even tougher than OH. 





That’s right. Ohio is our last hope.
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Vosem
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« Reply #31 on: October 31, 2012, 01:46:17 PM »

Ouch...
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #32 on: October 31, 2012, 01:51:52 PM »

Angelic news!
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
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« Reply #33 on: October 31, 2012, 01:58:45 PM »

Either Ohio shifts fast (and a brace of other states fall just so) or four more years. That's where we are right now.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #34 on: October 31, 2012, 02:09:10 PM »

Good polling day for Obama ... Smiley
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Torie
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« Reply #35 on: October 31, 2012, 02:10:17 PM »

And the partisan breakdown of this joyous little poll is what?  Just curious. I know, I know ... we don't need to go there again for the zillioneth time. But I want to know anyway. Thanks.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #36 on: October 31, 2012, 02:10:58 PM »

We're at a point now where Obama either wins the election or there's widespread systemic pollster error.
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Chaddyr23
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« Reply #37 on: October 31, 2012, 04:24:44 PM »

Splendid news!!!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #38 on: October 31, 2012, 04:27:03 PM »

We're at a point now where Obama either wins the election or there's widespread systemic pollster error.

Or widespread voter suppression/other shenanigans.
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Badger
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« Reply #39 on: October 31, 2012, 04:28:59 PM »

I guess someone should give the standard "uni poll" caveat here. Not to mention they've been rather "varied" compared to other pollsters in their results (O+11 a month ago, +1 3 weeks ago, now +8).
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DemPGH
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« Reply #40 on: October 31, 2012, 04:57:15 PM »

So if the upper midwest is gone + NV (which has suddenly just dropped off the radar), Romney pretty much has to run the table with what's left, and I don't think he can do that.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #41 on: October 31, 2012, 04:58:34 PM »

I guess someone should give the standard "uni poll" caveat here. Not to mention they've been rather "varied" compared to other pollsters in their results (O+11 a month ago, +1 3 weeks ago, now +8).

But they did nail the Walker Recall and Republican Senate Primary. My home state is a weird place, it is very possible that those shifts could have happened.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #42 on: October 31, 2012, 05:09:06 PM »

Marquette is one of the few uni polls that's actually pretty solid.
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Seriously?
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« Reply #43 on: October 31, 2012, 05:30:20 PM »

Game.  Set.  Match in the Badger state. 

I'm sure the Romney campaign is thrilled that their chances have come down to a Hail Mary in PA. 
Highly doubt it's "game over" Obama is headed to Wisconsin twice this week. Green Bay tomorrow and Milwaukee over the weekend. No way he's doing that if his internals show an 8 point lead.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #44 on: October 31, 2012, 07:05:52 PM »

WI will probably break 90% in 538 tonight. Smiley And Ohio might finally break 50% in the tipping point index.
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J. J.
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« Reply #45 on: November 01, 2012, 01:56:23 PM »

Uni poll. 
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #46 on: November 01, 2012, 02:10:17 PM »


Good observation!
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #47 on: November 01, 2012, 02:11:15 PM »

8%? Damn. Has the Ryan bounce worn off?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #48 on: November 01, 2012, 02:13:57 PM »


The same uni poll that nailed the Walker Recall and Thompson's primary win when all other pollsters were wrong.
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Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #49 on: November 01, 2012, 03:03:10 PM »


The same uni poll that nailed the Walker Recall and Thompson's primary win when all other pollsters were wrong.

The same Uni poll Krazen [and probably J.J.] loved until they began to show Obama leading.
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