Reversing close states (user search)
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  Reversing close states (search mode)
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Author Topic: Reversing close states  (Read 1567 times)
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« on: October 31, 2012, 05:54:44 PM »
Giving all states with margin of victory smaller than 5% to a loser:

2008:



Obama: 291
McCain: 247

2004:



Kerry: 298
Bush: 240

2000:



Gore: 343
Bush: 195

1996:



Clinton: 348
Dole: 190

1992:



Bush: 275
Clinton: 263

1988:



Bush: 301
Dukakis: 237

1984:



Reagan: 508
Mondale: 30

1980:



Reagan: 354
Carter: 184


Election winner change: 2004, 2008, 1992

No change: 2008, 2006, 1988, 1984, 1980
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2012, 08:28:21 AM »
1976:



Ford: 394
Carter: 144

1972:

No 5% difference in any state Sad

1968:



Humphrey: 330
Nixon: 152
Wallace: 56

1964:



Johnson: 468
Goldwater: 70

1960:



Nixon: 398
Kennedy: 131
Unpledged: 8

1956:



Eisenhower: 446
Stevenson: 85

1952:



Eisenhower: 411
Stevenson: 120

Winner change: 1976, 1968, 1960
No change: 1972, 1964, 1956, 1952
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2012, 08:36:09 AM »
1948:



Dewey: 299
Truman: 193
Thurmond: 39

1944:



Roosevelt: 297
Dewey: 234

1940:



Roosevelt: 293
Willkie: 238

1936:



Roosevelt: 519
Landon: 13

1932:



Roosevelt: 413
Hoover: 118


Winner change: 1948
No change: 1944, 1940, 1936, 1932
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2012, 08:51:13 AM »
1928:



Hoover: 379
Smith: 152

1924:



Coolidge: 360
Davis: 149
La Follette: 22

1920:



Harding: 392
Cox: 139

1916:



Hughes: 305
Wilson: 226

1912:



Wilson: 339
Roosevelt: 132
Taft: 60


Winner change: 1916
No change: 1928, 1924, 1920, 1912
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2012, 08:59:45 AM »
1908:



Taft: 283
Bryan: 200

1904:



Roosevelt: 317
Parker: 159

1990:



McKinley: 266
Bryan: 181

1896:



Bryan: 238
McKinley: 290


Winner change: 1896
No change: 1908, 1904, 1900
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« Reply #5 on: November 01, 2012, 09:10:15 AM »
1892:



Harrison: 267
Cleveland: 156
Weaver: 21

1888:



Cleveland: 289
Harrison: 112

1884:



Blaine: 278
Cleveland: 123

1880:



Hancock: 271
Garfield: 98
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« Reply #6 on: November 01, 2012, 09:20:35 AM »
1876:



Tilden: 299
Hayes: 70

1872:



Grant: 261
Greeley: 91

1868:



Grant: 156
Seymour: 138

1864:



Lincoln: 147
McClellan: 86
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2012, 04:05:38 PM »
1860:



Lincoln: 158
Breckinridge: 78
Douglas: 31
Bell: 36

1856:



Buchanan: 145
Fremont: 125
Fillmore: 26

1852:



Pierce: 206
Scott: 90

1848:



Cass: 181
Taylor: 109

1844:



Clay: 195
Polk: 88

1840:



Van Buren: 153
Harrison: 141
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2012, 01:55:15 AM »
Since there were no states with -5% margin in 1972, I give McGovern all states with margin -10%



Nixon: 492
McGovern: 46


George is still losing BIG time.
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2012, 01:59:01 AM »
The same idea for 1964



Johnson: 442
Goldwater: 96
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2012, 02:02:23 AM »
And 1984:



Reagan: 418
Mondale: 120
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380
« Reply #11 on: November 18, 2012, 07:10:35 AM »
Quote from: shua, gm on November 08, 2012, 02:19:58 AM
what is your process for when there is 3 or 4 candidates Kalwejt? are you only switching when the state winner gets more votes nationally than the runner-up?

For example, if Breckinridge was first and Bell second, I flip them.
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