Rasmussen: Romney with Slight Lead In Iowa (R+1) (user search)
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  Rasmussen: Romney with Slight Lead In Iowa (R+1) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Rasmussen: Romney with Slight Lead In Iowa (R+1)  (Read 7556 times)
Vosem
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Posts: 15,634
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Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09
« on: November 01, 2012, 12:37:30 PM »
The 58K Democratic advantage in early voting here is generally considered to translate roughly the results from 2004 here. Sounds, gotta say, about right.
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Vosem
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,634
United States


Political Matrix
E: 8.13, S: -6.09
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2012, 09:11:14 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on November 01, 2012, 03:46:56 PM
Quote from: Likely Voter on November 01, 2012, 03:13:55 PM
So at this point Ras has Romney winning NC, VA, FL, CO, IA, OH, and NH with WI tied.

I'm curious. Does anyone here think that is going to happen?  If so how much are you willing to bet.

I think Romney will win FL, NC, VA, CO, NH and WI. I'm sure he won't win IA.

I already have a bet with a friend of mine (whoever loses pays dinner).

Romney is clearly likelier to win IA than NH or WI. It's a matter of probabilities -- what you're saying isn't impossible but looks very unlikely.
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