Yougov final national survey: O+2

[ajb]

Obama 48.5
Romney 46.5
(yes, yes, decimals, but in fairness n=36472 likely voters)
Conducted Oct. 31- Nov. 3.

http://cdn.yougov.com/r/1/ygTabs_november_likelyvoters_National.pdf

[ajb]

Obama 48.5
Romney 46.5
(yes, yes, decimals, but in fairness n=36472 likely voters)
Conducted Oct. 31- Nov. 3.

http://cdn.yougov.com/r/1/ygTabs_november_likelyvoters_National.pdf

Internet poll. I could be a black woman from Ohio that reads the New York Times and loves Obama with and they'd have no clue.

Fair enough, you don't like internet polls. The fact remains that they were amongst the most accurate of pollsters in 2010, coming in just a couple of tenths of a point behind Q-Pac and SUSA. Rasmussen's average error (5.9%), was two and half points worse than Yougov, whose average error was 3.5%.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/

[ajb]

Obama 48.5
Romney 46.5
(yes, yes, decimals, but in fairness n=36472 likely voters)
Conducted Oct. 31- Nov. 3.

http://cdn.yougov.com/r/1/ygTabs_november_likelyvoters_National.pdf

Internet poll. I could be a black woman from Ohio that reads the New York Times and loves Obama with and they'd have no clue.

Fair enough, you don't like internet polls. The fact remains that they were amongst the most accurate of pollsters in 2010, coming in just a couple of tenths of a point behind Q-Pac and SUSA. Rasmussen's average error (5.9%), was two and half points worse than Yougov, whose average error was 3.5%.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/

And who was the most accurate in 2008?

There was quite a lot of consensus right around the end in 2008. Yougov and Rasmussen both had Obama up 6 in their final poll, vs. the actual PV result of Obama +7.27. The week prior, Yougov had had Obama up 7, while Ras had him up 5.
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/pollster_accuracy_and_the_nati.php?nr=1