OH: 52-47 Obama, PPP (user search)
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  OH: 52-47 Obama, PPP (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH: 52-47 Obama, PPP  (Read 5689 times)
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,942


« on: November 04, 2012, 07:23:09 PM »

OBAMA LEADS 52-47!!!!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942


« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2012, 07:34:21 PM »

There's a non-negligible chance that Obama actually improves on his 2008 margin here. Who would have believed that a year ago?!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,942


« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2012, 08:21:40 PM »


Yes... when PPP is saying what you want, they're reasonable... now they've got problems

We've been talking about the same problem for 2-3 weeks.  It looks like they have a fairly strong D house effect.  Their methodology is good, but they have this house effect.  

The last week of polls in Ohio show TIE (Rasmussen), Obama +1 (Gravis), +2, +2, +3, +3, +3, +4, +4, +4, +5, +6, +8 (Zogby). PPP's result here is completely in line with the consensus. No house effect. Try again.
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